Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Any comments Wx guys?

http://www.onthesnow.com/news/a/628002/17-18-ski-season-long-range-weather-forecast

I'll take it!

this looks encouraging

http://opensnow.com/news/post/can-hurricane-irma-help-predict-2017-2018-snowfall

Fascinating..  And hopefully an accurate predictor..

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/videos/climate-prediction-centers-mike-halpert-explains-noaas-2017-18-winter-outlook

Not great for the NE.

La Nina, combined with colder than normal, may make the PNW the winter winner this year.  They are getting hammered with an atmospheric river event already....top of Rainier may be getting pummeled as we type.  Outlook looks good for MT, which is good if I'm considering adding the Big Sky area this year.

UT and the CO Front Rnge above avg precip, but above avg temp....but that could be ok.

RA might get skunked, with below avg precip and above avg temps.

NE ski country warm, and avg precip, not an encouraging setup.

Regarding AR events in the PNW......as much as 16 feet forecast for Rainer above 9k through Sunday, Baker forecast for 6+ feet above 7k.

GT
nws and Schick are going for a lot less
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=46.7868&lon=-121.7344#.WeoQsLW1u70
https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/northwest

Please post the link..these events are so cool

That’s why I said “as much as” . Big numbers are exciting, even if not likely!

I like Mountain Forecast.  They aren’t always accurate, but what forecast is?  They hit a good percentage of the time, though.

https://www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Mount-Rainier/forecasts/4392

Dream-drool away!

Admittedly the Mountain Forecast numbers can get wonky, and focus on alalytics over common sense.  160 inches in 24 hours Sat.  Is that 6+ inches an hour even possible, much less a foot plus an hour Saturday night???  But it’s still fun to look at!

Yeah, the AR events are fascinating, and all bets are off once the spigot opens.

me thinks there is a glitch in the Sat night forecast...
6" a hour is possible, but usually not sustained for hours  on end..

Yay! Six to seven inches at Gore and whiteface Sunday night!  Oh. That’s rain. Snow-forecast.com a bit aggressive I say

It does look very warm for the east coming up...



In a way I consider a huge meltdown storm ok at this time of year, at least it's not really washing anything away.

Interesting article from Wunderground on La Nina/NAO possibilities for the upcoming season:

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/la-nia-declared-cooldown-nipping-warmest-autumn-record-northeast-us

Petronio

thanks for posting

Some medium long in here about halfway through:

http://www.ilsnow.com/2017/12/22/winter-time/

It's pretty positive.