Market Philosophy: What You Got?

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ScottyJack ScottyJack
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

Wall Street working hard to keep tRump from total failure before 2018 mid terms.  They will keep the DOW climbing to make sure the strangle old on our government remains.  Then dump for record profits!    
I ride with Crazy Horse!
MC2 5678F589 MC2 5678F589
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

In reply to this post by nepa
nepa wrote
I'm not exactly sure why...I feel like we're at the top...I can feel it in my bones...  unless, of course trump sends us to War, we're headed for a big correction (at least 10%... maybe 20).  Get out of the Casino now.
Well, this prediction didn't go as well as your incredible Bitcoin play.

But if we're trying to call the top, put me down for here (yesterday's close, I guess). I feel like the tax cut is already priced in, and if something happens to derail it (http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/363306-ryans-office-warning-he-wasnt-part-of-deal-on-obamacare-source?amp), there might be a lot of pissed off investors.

On the other hand, where are these investors gonna go with their money? Bonds? Cash? Gotta think there will be a floor around Dow 20,000 or so.
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

It should be interesting. Although to be honest this will be the first crash where I am really vested in it.  In the past it was merely a buying opportunity.

Over/Under: How much time will elapse after the correction before Trump stops taking credit for the market, and blames it on sOmebody else?  :)
"If it's my mountain, I'm installing a fixed grip and telling the lifties to stuff the beginners into chairs as aggressively as they have to, to keep it going full speed." —Brownski
warp daddy warp daddy
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

Your last statement will be the case , Trump never stands behind anything or anyone . At best he is a chamelion at worst a sociopath.

Its my assumption that a structural correction will most likely occur in 2018 . if the Marketeers can "game " the system until after the elections they will have won , but my guess is they will be unable to forstall the impact of the law of unintended consequences as this tax plan carries forward .  Strictly musing here , just a gut feeling that the wave machine will break apart and the wave will tank
MC2 5678F589 MC2 5678F589
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

warp daddy wrote
Its my assumption that a structural correction will most likely occur in 2018 . if the Marketeers can "game " the system until after the elections they will have won , but my guess is they will be unable to forstall the impact of the law of unintended consequences as this tax plan carries forward .  Strictly musing here , just a gut feeling that the wave machine will break apart and the wave will tank
That, plus I think that a lot of people are holding on to investments that made money for them until next year. Why take the tax hit for 2017, when you might get a tax cut for 2018 that will minimize the amount you have to pay?
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

Interesting. You calling a Jan 2 sell off?
"If it's my mountain, I'm installing a fixed grip and telling the lifties to stuff the beginners into chairs as aggressively as they have to, to keep it going full speed." —Brownski
warp daddy warp daddy
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MAtt ;  correct stay in the game till the new year then rebalance . You young guns need to be in the game and diversify

Whereas us older farts who are in the last quarter of our life span , well our tactics now are primarily preservation . One goal is to pass some thru to succeeding generations . .  As you know from past conversations , i am out of the conspicuous consumption phase . Actually been there for over 20 yrs now . Hey  we are set and playing the HNW game and sleep well at night 😎😎

It does piss me off  that the fat rat bastard screws the middle class and hurts many with the effing abomination of a tax plan 👹 .  But ever the optimist I am  hoping those Two Big Macs , followed by TWO fried fish sandwiches and a big shake DO THEIR TRick ☠.  Hey  Trumpfatass you WANT fries with that ?. Bwaa hahahaha
MC2 5678F589 MC2 5678F589
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

warp daddy wrote
 .  But ever the optimist I am  hoping those Two Big Macs , followed by TWO fried fish sandwiches and a big shake DO THEIR TRick ☠.  Hey  Trumpfatass you WANT fries with that ?. Bwaa hahahaha
I was listening to his speech on the radio today, and it sounded like he had a stroke when he said "United States"

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/god-blesh-united-shtatesh-donald-11651106

Harvey Harvey
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I thought he might be having a stroke.
"If it's my mountain, I'm installing a fixed grip and telling the lifties to stuff the beginners into chairs as aggressively as they have to, to keep it going full speed." —Brownski
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Market Philosophy: What You Got?

In reply to this post by warp daddy
If you really think the market is going to correct on Jan 2 why wouldn't you rebalance now?  It seems like a lot to risk for 15 days of potential gain.  That's some serious market timing.

If (like me) your pennies are in a 401k, you find out the market is tanking in the morning and if you sell, you get the price at end of day.  That sounds like selling low to me.

I don't market time but at 59 I am getting more conservative every year.
"If it's my mountain, I'm installing a fixed grip and telling the lifties to stuff the beginners into chairs as aggressively as they have to, to keep it going full speed." —Brownski
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