Storm brewing in the Gulf

if the NAM is right..big party..if GFS , some nice window dressing...

JasonWx wrote

if the NAM is right..big party..if GFS , some nice window dressing...

The Euro now has the lowest totals for most of ski country as it's trended west and south.  I'm inclined to trust that one given it has had this blizzard back when the GFS was calling for a bright, sunny, clear Friday.  Any way you slice it though, every mountain from the Poconos to Maine is getting some snow.

 

18z NAM was almost a carbon copy of the 12z..If the GFS is the same , all bets are off..

JasonWx wrote

18z NAM was almost a carbon copy of the 12z..If the GFS is the same , all bets are off..

Huh?

Jamesdeluxe wrote

JasonWx wrote

18z NAM was almost a carbon copy of the 12z..If the GFS is the same , all bets are off..

Huh?

I think he means that it may or may not snow. And if it does, it may or may not be big. I think.

Sick Bird Rider wrote

Jamesdeluxe wrote

JasonWx wrote

18z NAM was almost a carbon copy of the 12z..If the GFS is the same , all bets are off..

Huh?

I think he means that it may or may not snow. And if it does, it may or may not be big. I think.

I think you may or may not be right. And if you are, I think you got lucky. Pretty sure.

from NWS Albany 4:15 PM:

OUR CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR 8-12 INCHES OUR NORTHERN/NORTHWESTERN
ZONES...AROUND 10-12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAPITAL REGION/SCHOHARIE
VALLEY...10-16 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS/MID HUDSON
VALLEY...12-16 INCHES ACROSS THE TACONICS AND SRN VT...12-18
INCHES ACROSS THE BERKSHIRES...AND 15-25 INCHES ACROSS LITCHFIELD
COUNTY.

camp, that was funny stuff

the NAM generated a biblical amt of qpf.upwards of 2.5 to 3" ..  a total burial

RPM has QPG right through the NAM and the EURO.

ROFLMOA.

Hinterlands in the wheelhouse:

Harvey44 wrote

ROFLMOA.

Hinterlands in the wheelhouse:

Except that snow in that part of the Hinterlands is about as useful as snow in Boston.

Basically, the 00z NAM has shifted Boston's snow to NYC's now.  Which is why it shows the entire state of NJ as BURIED.

I want to dismiss this, but the Euro has also trended slightly south and slightly west, which is a bit worse for ski country (other than Pokes and Cats).  The GFS should be out in just a few minutes, and it has been the most conservative with the snow, so we should have another key data point soon.

Lionel's Updated:

NW ADK: 8-14, High Peaks: 8-12+, Nor. VT (89 to Jay): 6-10, Central Spine (89 thru 4): 8-16, Southern VT: 10-18+, So NH, 12-24, Whites 8-16, Maine 10-18, Berks and Catskills 12+

http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/pow-omg-pow/

those might be generous  amounts

Jason why so pessimistic ?  

12:59 Albany NWS : TOTAL SNOWFALL LOOKS BE AROUND A FOOT ACROSS THE GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...14-24 INCHES SOUTH AND EAST (HIGHEST ACROSS LITCHFIELD
COUNTY) AND 8-12 INCHES NORTHEAST OF ALBANY

Latest models bringing storm closer to coast, may bump up totals beyond above per WNYT.

Lets turn that frown upside down :)

actually the NAM was a bit further to the east and drier..

look at the current radars , blah

evergreen wrote

Jason why so pessimistic ?  

You must be new here...

We came up to our house in Margaretville last night. Traffic was unusually heavy on the thruway. I got over to Belleayre this morning for a few runs and conditions without the storm were quite good. It was very foggy with 15 mph+ winds, 25F and light snow when I left at 1 pm. Local stations are calling for 1-3 today, around a foot tonight and 1-3 tomorrow a.m. They are ALWAYS on the conservative side (from past experience). If you ain't up here, get up here! It will be an Epic day tomorrow. cloudy with temps in the low teens when it stops tomorrow. I will post totals as I read them on my deck. Elev 1480' 8 mi south of Platty and 8 west of Belle.

CONTENTS DELETED