Christmas Vacation Week

This is from Weather Underground for North Creek:

Monday Night 90 % Precip. / 5-8 in

Cloudy with periods of snow after midnight. Low 12F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 5 to 8 inches.

Tuesday 12/29 24 | 18 °F

Tuesday 90 % Precip. / 8-12 in

Watching a potential winter storm. Snow likely. High 24F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 90%. 8 to 12 inches of snow expected.

Tuesday Night 90 % Precip. / < 1 in

Cloudy with snow showers mainly during the evening. Low 18F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 90%.

Yes - looks like wither is going to come. A little frosty up here this AM and but warm during the day today. I should be able to get another bike ride in today, maybe this time with a light jacket but that looks like it for the year. Maybe hiking for the next three days after that and then it's show time. Likely have to stick with lift served for several weeks though, there is a lot of ground that needs to be made up.

PeeTex wrote

Yes - looks like wither is going to come.

LOL

Sponge I thought this was a cruel Christmas joke, but looks like it's legit.  Storm track still looks a bit lake runnerish, but I have seen snow from that scenario on occassion.




.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

IT LOOKS AS IF A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL ENSUE AS WE WORK
INTO THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

THE RIDGE IN THE EAST LOOKS TO FINALLY FLATTEN OUT AS A RIDGE BUILDS
AT LEAST TEMPORARILY IN THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS RIDGE WILL FORCE THE
POLAR JET...WHICH HAS BEEN WELL TO OUR NORTH MOST OF DECEMBER... TO
FINALLY BUCKLE SOUTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ALLOWING SOME ARCTIC
AIR TO BLEED SOUTHWARD OVER THE NORTHEAST.

AT THE SAME TIME...THE SUBTROPICAL JET WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND
WILL BE QUITE ACTIVE.

THIS SETUP WILL ALLOW FOR A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED JUST SOUTH OF OUR REGION THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. INITIALLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO OUR NORTH LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THE WEATHER DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE MAINLY DRY
BUT NOTICEABLY COLDER...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONABLE HIGHS.
THIS MEANS HIGHS IN THE FROM THE MID 20S IN OUR NORTHWEST ZONES...TO
UPPER 30S IN OUR SOUTHEAST AREAS...LOCALLY MID 30S IN THE CAPITAL
REGION.

THEN...A POTENT SYSTEM RIPPLING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN JET WILL WORK
UP THE OHIO VALLEY. WITH COLD AIR ENTRENCHED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CONUS...ENERGY FROM THIS STORM WILL LIKELY TRANSLATE TO A SECONDARY
LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF BY LATER TUESDAY LONG ISLAND. THIS IS A
CLASSIC MILLER TYPE B STORM.

PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM LOOK TO WORK INTO OUR REGION MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
20S. MOST MODELS NOW LOOK COLD ENOUGH THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN FOR THIS
PRECIPITATION TO BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW...OR SNOW TRANSITIONING TO A
WINTRY MIX (TURNING PERHAPS TO LIQUID RAIN WELL SOUTH ALBANY BUT NOT
UNTIL LATE TUESDAY).

THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BRING THE FIRST WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL TO
THE REGION...AND COULD MAKE FOR A MESSY COMMUTE BOTH FOR THE MORNING
AND EVENING DRIVES ON TUESDAY. NUMBERS ARE STILL HARD TO PIN DOWN
ESPECIALLY SINCE THE SNOW COULD MIX WITH SLEET AND EVEN SOME
FREEZING RAIN...BUT EITHER WAY...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION.

THIS STORM WILL EXIT OUR REGION BY WEDNESDAY...BUT A TRAILING
STATIONARY FRONT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRAPED JUST SOUTH OF OUR REGION
WHICH COULD KEEP THE SKY MOSTLY CLOUDY AND PERHAPS YIELD ADDITIONAL
LIGHT AMOUNTS OF NUISANCE PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY AS A WINTRY MIX
OR A BIT MORE SNOW.

BY THURSDAY...YET ANOTHER WAVE MIGHT WORK ACROSS THE FRONT. AT THIS
POINT...THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION MIGHT STAY JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF
OUR REGION...BUT THIS FAR OUT...THIS IS NOT ETCHED IN STONE.