Fall Weather 2017

Starting next week , looks like a extended period of snowmaking weather...

And now this...

Winter is coming.....looks kinda dry but I will take the cold

Really hoping the weather works out this year for xmas/Nye week....have a group of like 18ppl coming up...last year actually was pretty good this same week hoping for at least that if not better.  New years day 2017 was pretty awesome I think it was some fresh snow too:

Me coming down Upper Skyward, early am while most were still hungover, decided not to do that to myself last year!  And it was a smart move as indicated below:

That's a sweet shot. Do you have a sharp hi res version?

Northern mountains look ok tonight, might actually be a mix in the Cats...

Harvey wrote

That's a sweet shot. Do you have a sharp hi res version?

I think so - if I can find it I'll email it to you

It's a beauty.


I am looking for great horizontal shots with white/snow all the way across the bottom to work as alternative to the sweet Plattekill shot above.

I don't think this will work, but it is a cool image.

I'm becoming very bullish in the up coming pattern... In about a 5 days or so, we will be in winter.. Around the clock snowmaking for days on end is not out of the question..

JasonWx wrote

I'm becoming very bullish in the up coming pattern... In about a 5 days or so, we will be in winter.. Around the clock snowmaking for days on end is not out of the question..

What have you done with Jason!

Start talking about a coastal low, and I will officially believe in space aliens.


Any info on this is welcome:

http://www.syracuse.com/weather/index.ssf/2017/11/upstate_ny_weather_get_ready_for_extended_blast_of_arctic_air_lake_effect_snow.html

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The pattern change to more wintry conditions will be underway at the
start of the long term portion of the forecast, with temperatures
trending below seasonal levels for Thursday through Saturday.

....


Friday-Saturday, considerable uncertainty regarding the potential
interaction of an upper level impulse tracking from central Canada
into the Plains and Ohio Valley, a strong low/mid level baroclinic
zone persisting from the Gulf Coast to along/off the mid Atlantic
coast, and possible surface low development. The latest 12Z/02 ECMWF
and majority of GEFs members suggest that significant surface low
development remains mainly offshore, although strong forcing from
the main upper level impulse and at least some Atlantic moisture
still may bring some light snow or snow showers sometime late Friday
into Saturday to the region. The 12Z/02 deterministic GFS suggests
stronger surface low development farther west, with perhaps a more
significant snow event impacting the region. At this time, will side
closer to a EC/GEFs idea of at least some snow/snow showers, and
will watch future model/ensemble trends to see if confidence
increases for a more substantial snowfall across at least portions
of the region.

......


http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/a-few-days-away-big-stretch-of-winter.html

This upcoming weekend still looks to be interesting...A significant system will be affecting the NE , but where and how it hits is still up in the air..

The west is looking warmer and drier then originally thought for the next 10-14 days..

Jason does it seem like any potential snow next weekend could benefit the weekend warrior I saw that it looked more like Sunday night into Monday.

as of now the models are all over the place ...

it's still a week away.. if you took the models verbatim it's a moderate event..not a block buster

My question was about timing not magnitude.

Hope we can hold on to this through Christmas:



Seems like a longshot for sure.

The last couple of runs have been suppressing the low to the south..The latest 6z GFS has all but eliminated the low..

so cold and dry for the next 10 days..sometimes you get a surprise

http://www.ilsnow.com/2017/12/04/snodeo-weekend-and-beyond/

cold and dry for the foreseeable future...There should be a ton of terrain opened for the holidays

850s go below zero tonight and range from -10 to -20 for the upstate into NNE for the next 2 weeks...looks pretty dry outside of the LES belts...maybe we can get some nickle and dime snows from clippers.

cold wise, looking more and more like one of the coldest Decembers in the past decade, maybe even historic but its still early to talk that....