Groundhog Day 2020 storm speculation thread..

Since the past few weekend snow events have shit the bed, let's keep hope alive for February!

Saratogahalfday wrote

^^That's pretty much exactly what you want.


First mention by NWS ALY

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

The next chance of precipitation arrives next weekend, with a
potential coastal storm on the horizon. However, as expected this
far in advance, model guidance indicating large differences. Bottom
line there is at least a signal for a possible storm, but the track,
intensity and resulting QPF are extremely uncertain at this time.
Will continue to monitor trends over the next several days.

We settled on Gore

models keep flip flopping with this event...
0z run was a wash out ,06z run was a non event... need to wait til wed to get a better handle on it

I’ll try to bring some snow with me when I get back from UT next weekend.

Current NOAA discussion says models are (currently) in agreement (although it’s five days out) that there will be no phasing with the coastal low that will stay well south and east of the FA (Adirondacks).  I don’t see anyone forecasting more than a few inches from the Clipper coming across.  

Oh, and current forecast highs for the weekend look right around freezing.  Even if the coastal low phased it would probably bring enough warm air in to turn it all to ncp?

JTG4eva! wrote

Current NOAA discussion says models are (currently) in agreement (although it’s five days out) that there will be no phasing with the coastal low that will stay well south and east of the FA (Adirondacks).  I don’t see anyone forecasting more than a few inches from the Clipper coming across.  

Oh, and current forecast highs for the weekend look right around freezing.  Even if the coastal low phased it would probably bring enough warm air in to turn it all to ncp?

if there was phasing there is enough cold air in place..but that doesn't seem to want to happen if does it looks to be suppressed to the south and east .looks like the next 2 weeks are just seasonably cold with maybe a shot of arctic air..woopie

This looks better...

http://coolwx.com/ptype/

That is a cool link. Is it updated?

http://bestsnow.net/

At the link above, on the left hand column scroll down to “current and predicted weather”

-click it, and on that page about half way down you’ll see “ Weather Forecasts - U.S. and North America Maps”

-there are 4 links there which have some nice forecast info to work with. One of the links is the link you ask about. It’s the gfs model run updated.

It looks like the storm is missing us.  I guess it beats another rain storm, but this is getting frustrating.

There it is over in the corner I think:

Yes, skiers in Halifax and Labrador are having an epic season.

This is going to be a recording breaking warm month...again.    

Saratogahalfday wrote

Yes, skiers in Halifax and Labrador are having an epic season.

This is going to be a recording breaking warm month...again.

All true..And Feb looks to be the same..

Great, at this pace most resorts will be closing in mid-March.