Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

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Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

D.B. Cooper
Any comments Wx guys?

http://www.onthesnow.com/news/a/628002/17-18-ski-season-long-range-weather-forecast
Sent from the driver's seat of my car while in motion.
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Marcski
I'll take it!

Z
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Z
This post was updated on .
this looks encouraging

http://opensnow.com/news/post/can-hurricane-irma-help-predict-2017-2018-snowfall
if You French Fry when you should Pizza you are going to have a bad time
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Telemark Dave
Fascinating..  And hopefully an accurate predictor..
"there is great chaos under heaven, and the situation is excellent" Disclaimer: Telemark Dave is a Hinterlandian. He is not from New York State, and in fact, doesn't even ski there very often. He is also obsessive-compulsive about Voile Charger BC's.
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JTG4eva!
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/videos/climate-prediction-centers-mike-halpert-explains-noaas-2017-18-winter-outlook

Not great for the NE.

La Nina, combined with colder than normal, may make the PNW the winter winner this year.  They are getting hammered with an atmospheric river event already....top of Rainier may be getting pummeled as we type.  Outlook looks good for MT, which is good if I'm considering adding the Big Sky area this year.

UT and the CO Front Rnge above avg precip, but above avg temp....but that could be ok.

RA might get skunked, with below avg precip and above avg temps.

NE ski country warm, and avg precip, not an encouraging setup.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JTG4eva!
Regarding AR events in the PNW......as much as 16 feet forecast for Rainer above 9k through Sunday, Baker forecast for 6+ feet above 7k.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JasonWx
GT
nws and Schick are going for a lot less
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=46.7868&lon=-121.7344#.WeoQsLW1u70
https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/northwest

Please post the link..these events are so cool
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JTG4eva!
That’s why I said “as much as” . Big numbers are exciting, even if not likely!

I like Mountain Forecast.  They aren’t always accurate, but what forecast is?  They hit a good percentage of the time, though.

https://www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Mount-Rainier/forecasts/4392

Dream-drool away!

Admittedly the Mountain Forecast numbers can get wonky, and focus on alalytics over common sense.  160 inches in 24 hours Sat.  Is that 6+ inches an hour even possible, much less a foot plus an hour Saturday night???  But it’s still fun to look at!

Yeah, the AR events are fascinating, and all bets are off once the spigot opens.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JasonWx
me thinks there is a glitch in the Sat night forecast...
6" a hour is possible, but usually not sustained for hours  on end..
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Harvey
Administrator
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Hoser
Yay! Six to seven inches at Gore and whiteface Sunday night!  Oh. That’s rain. Snow-forecast.com a bit aggressive I say
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Harvey
Administrator
It does look very warm for the east coming up...



In a way I consider a huge meltdown storm ok at this time of year, at least it's not really washing anything away.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Petronio
Interesting article from Wunderground on La Nina/NAO possibilities for the upcoming season:

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/la-nia-declared-cooldown-nipping-warmest-autumn-record-northeast-us

Petronio
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

JasonWx
thanks for posting
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Long Range Forecast - Winter 2017-18

Harvey
Administrator
Some medium long in here about halfway through:

http://www.ilsnow.com/2017/12/22/winter-time/

It's pretty positive.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp