4-6 inches tomorrow, slight chance up to 8 inches in the higher elevations, goes over to a mix and rain on Saturday but the warmth only lasts for a few hrs and temps should mostly stay in the 30s. Shouldn't be a huge hit to the pack.
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Potential for some accumulating snow into Christmas Day...
Most sources of model guidance continue to trend eastward with
cyclogenesis off the New England coast Monday (Christmas) morning,
with the 12Z ECMWF, GFS, CMC and GEFS mean all indicating a
strengthening surface cyclone offshore southeast of Maine by early
Monday afternoon. An upper level trough axis is forecast to move
through our region during the first half of Christmas Day, with an
inverted surface trough extending westward from the main cyclone
into southern New England and southeast New York. These features
would likely result in at least a light snow accumulation across
much of the area, which would impact holiday travel. We will
continue to closely monitor model trends over the next few days,
since a westward shift in this potentially developing cyclone would
result in greater snowfall.
Temperatures will gradually become much colder through much of next
week, with all areas experiencing high temps below freezing by
Tuesday. A weak upper level disturbance and a surface cold front
passage will result in isolated to scattered snow showers Tuesday
into Tuesday night. Temperatures will cool even further in wake of
this system for Wednesday. 850 mb temperature anomalies of -1 to -2
STDEV will be common, with an even colder intrusion of arctic air
possible Thursday courtesy of strong 1040+ mb high pressure building
east into southern Ontario/Quebec. Depending on eventual wind speeds
later in the week, wind chill values could approach advisory levels
over the higher terrain.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp