First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

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Harvey Harvey
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First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

The WRF may definitely need to be interpreted. It gives information, but those amounts are very likely to be high. Jason can chime in as to WHY this is, but I know it to be true from experience.

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First Winter Storm Watch from NWS Albany since April 26:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
412 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010


...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS ...NORTHEAST CATSKILLS ...AND HELDERBERGS ...THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS ...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH...AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE TO WET SNOW ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ...BEGINNING FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST CATSKILLS ...AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF SNOW ...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES ...WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT ...BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 INCHES OR GREATER WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE WEIGHT OF WET SNOW MAY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS ...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE LEAVES REMAIN. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES.

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
Snowballs Snowballs
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

Just saw on the Weather Channel, 12:00 pm, It's snowing in Vermont. They got a Reporter at Stowe, where it's snowing above 3000'. 2" so far. Expecting 8" on the northern slopes. It's also snowing at Killington, 2", and there's even snow on the base buildings. It's snowing as low as 700' elevation in Vermont.

Just NCP here at exit 18, 465' elevation and the temp's 40 degrees.
Harvey Harvey
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

The intellicast radar is the "most sensitive" color coded radar. I don't use it on the HR homepage for reasons I'll explain another time. At the time of this posting, it is backing up the Tweets coming out of Kmart and Stowe:

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

Forecast is still on track..No real surprises, 2-6 inch for upper elevations..
"Peace and Love"
70s Gore Kid 70s Gore Kid
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

Check out The Weather Channel Friday afternoon:  Jim Cantore is reporting live from the base of Stowe, holding up a snowball he just made, and predicting 4 - 6 inches in higher elevations.  As I said on Harv's Blog side a moment ago, I know this is a NY ski forum, but I'm pretty excited and that's all this old Kid can find at this point!
Syracuse, NY
tBatt tBatt
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

In reply to this post by JasonWx
Jason, is that supposed to be a total for the whole storm or just what they've gotten so far?

Above is forecast for Whiteface.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

it looks like NWS 's forecast is for 5-11...sounds reasonable..
"Peace and Love"
MC2 5678F589 MC2 5678F589
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

In reply to this post by tBatt
Whiteface looks like the Sweet Spot.  I'll be on the Auto Road tomorrow.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

looks like Vermont is winding down..Whiteface is definitely in the Sweet Spot..

I don't like cold Octobers. Kind of sets us up for a warm November..
"Peace and Love"
Highpeaksdrifter Highpeaksdrifter
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Re: First Winter Storm Watch 10/11

In reply to this post by MC2 5678F589
mattchuck2 wrote
Whiteface looks like the Sweet Spot.  I'll be on the Auto Road tomorrow.
Not sure what time pic was taken:

There's truth that lives
And truth that dies
I don't know which
So never mind - Leonard Cohen
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