Storm Speculation 2/24/16

Long way out but....NWS is talking about it.

models are all over the place..neither scenario was good...0z euro is showing a nice event for the mountains...many more days and runs to go....

more telling is in the long range( not the most accurate) ..The whole country seems to be transitioning into a spring pattern..

Which means warm/r*in I guess.

Single chair Josh is pretty bully on the 2/24-2/25 system.

ScottyJack wrote

Single chair Josh is pretty bully on the 2/24-2/25 system.

This one has got to happen - we can't keep getting this many last minute doom or the spring skiing is gonna be screwed.  PLEASE!!!!

New GFS has a low passing off the coast..maybe 4-6 for the Greens less for the Dacks..

that is using this run 6 days out..basically useless..need to wait till Sunday night or Monday to make a more educated guess

Local weather guy Tom "messinhispants" isn't so bully right now.......

Thx Jason for all your work this season.  

right now nothing to get too excited about...both euro and gfs are blah...

The 06z was a Ugly!!..I will wait for the 12z runs..
0z euro was more encouraging...

ScottyJack wrote

Local weather guy Tom "messinhispants" isn't so bully right now.......

Tom is the least accurate of any weather forecaster in the north country, hands down.

You're such a fucking tease, Harvey!

GFS is advertising a quick 3-6 inch event

Most recent run is looking pretty messy to me.
1.25" Water, coming in non-frozen for most of the storm, finishing cold.

Still a while out, fingers crossed for you guys.

right now , this event is total rain, sorry ...followed by arctic air over the weekend

peace and love

Ugggghhh....we are headed up to WF next weekend.  On the plus side, it's with friends again, so if the skiing is less than stellar there is always drinking and broom ball!

Looks like snow before the NCP comes in on Weds. Whiteface should be skiing well (could pick up 3-5") before mid afternoon. A bit of moisture after it drops below freezing again. Me thinks WF /Jay peak could see some decent snow amounts after the cold front moves through. Hopefully the soggy snow won't absorb it all.

Amateur forecast for Whiteface


Cold Front moving through. Frame from 2/25 7 pm


QPF pre-0°C Line, 1.25-1.50" .


0°C passed, High PI rates for Northern Green Mtn Spine. Frame from 2/25 10 pm


QPF post-0°C line, valid 2/26 1 pm. 1.75-2.00". Difference 0.5".


0.5" of water, post cold-front. Starting at freezing level, finishing around 0°F. Sounds like 4-8" of snow to me. Still a week out by the time the fun stuff comes in. We'll see how it unfolds.

Considering how fast the temps drop I'd expect lots and lots of wind. I bet the top of Whiteface will see similar wind chill temps to last week.

There's no such thing as bad weather, just bad gear, right?
 

Looks like the low will go further to the left...no bueno....then followed by a period of light snow...more of insult to injury type of snow....

peace and love

The Euro is definitely on the wrong side of the Appalachians but the GFS has it going right up the Hudson River Valley.   In any event I am expecting a day like we had this past Tuesday at Gore, this coming Wednesday,  and will be there in the am.  In a season like this, I will get whatever I can.  It was snowing pretty good when I left Gore today at 1:30

Hudson Valley??  Looks closer to Mississippi Valley..  Anyway, doesn't look like major gully washer..Still shit is shit..