Storm Speculation: 3/3/14

Something coming or what??

to early to tell...as of now it looks like a southern event..

JasonWx wrote

to early to tell...as of now it looks like a southern event..

Of course it is ...

Looks like another NYC storm but its still early.

This is bullshit!

Agreed.  Another storm to screw up life here in Downstate without any Adirondack benefit.  We are heading toward a record year in the NYC area.  Only another foot or so to best 1996.

There is plenty of benefit downstate.  Creek is getting snow and they have announced that they will stay open till April because of all the great natural they've got.  I don't mind having to shovel out, it is still 1 trillion times better than r*in.

ScottyJack wrote

This is bullshit!

as a weather nut and downstate resident. if monday's event pans out , this might be the best winter in my 51yrs..
yes better than the 77/78 winter..

i bet Platt and the rest of the Cat's areas have smiles on their faces and money in their checkbooks..

JasonWx wrote

i bet Platt and the rest of the Cat's areas have smiles on their faces and money in their checkbooks..

I'm sure they do.  When the snow falls where the money and people are, the money ends up in their pockets when people come to the mountain.

I am finally going to hit some lines in the Catskills I've had my eye on for years this spring, can't wait*.


*fingers crossed, knock and wood, and the rest.

Moving a little north on the track?

not really

Still looks like a Phil to NYC storm to me.  PV is too strong and too far south for this storm to make it further north.

If the BC zone moves north so will the precipt...time will tell..

NWS ALY:

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE AND HAVE POPS INCREASING THROUGH THE PERIOD TO LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY MONDAY. THE MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FA WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...BUT THERE IS LESS AGREEMENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA WITH THE GGEM HAVING THE LEAST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS NRN AREAS.

THE GEFS PLUME DIAGRAM HAS A GREAT DISCREPANCY IN TERMS OF PCPN AMOUNTS FOR KALB WITH AS LITTLE AS A TENTH OF AN INCH OF QPF UP TO 1.72 INCHES OF QPF WITH A MEAN OF 0.61 INCH. GFS HAS IMPRESSIVE FGEN ACROSS SE THIRD OF FA AT 18Z MON. FOR NOW WILL GO CATEGORICAL POPS ON MONDAY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF FA WITH LIKELY POPS UP THROUGH THE MOHAWK VALLEY...SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THEN CHANCE POPS FARTHER NORTH. EXPECT LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT TO BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

I'm not in this camp but still like the comic.

Harvey, Im a novice with the weather maps. Can you explain what "FA" stands for?
Thanks

scottymac wrote

Harvey, Im a novice with the weather maps. Can you explain what "FA" stands for?
Thanks

I believe "FA" is NWS shorthand for "forecast area."

I does look like the GFS is pushing the storm south now.



Rooting for a Powder Daize at Plattekill!

That's a southern stormtrack

Holy cow this thing has gone south. It doesn't look like NYC is even going to get much. DC looks like they are gonna get a direct hit.