Storm speculation 1/25 -1/26

The various weather sites keep spitting out some sort of winter weather event next weekend, as are the local weather folk now.  

Fingers crossed.

All about the clicks baby.  Forecasting is getting ridiculous with every other person being a "Weatherman".  I prefer the old days when they spoke about it when they actually knew something of substance.

Yes, I have poopy pants over the last two storm performances.

initially it look like a rain event..

the models have started to trend south with the low..still many days to go but it does look better

They are talking a nice long duration storm from Saturday into Sunday morning.  No amounts yet, but it's looking good.

sorry harv
but those composite maps just aren't accurate..this past weekend's event proved that..
that said it does look like a slow mover, but there is warm air close by..it's only tue.. many more runs and scenarios

I never claimed they were accurate.  

I use them to see where the model thinks snow will fall.  

For example when I look at that map above, I think:

"Right now this model sees more snow for SoVT than Western NY."

Amounts are always overblown.

Harvey, there's NASA help coming:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/nasa-launches-new-snowstorm-chasing-project/665915

Looks decent for the Catskills as well. Fingers Crossed.

NOAA is saying "Snow" both Saturday and Saturday night for CNY, which usually means we are going to get some sort of quantity of precipitation worth measuring.

The models this morning show more warm air, and a mix event.  Once again we're on the edge between a big dump and disappointment.

Stay tuned..

Saratogahalfday wrote

Once again we're on the edge between a big dump and disappointment.

Ski the fucking East, I guess.

with out a High to our north, it will not be a cold storm..that said,the 540 line stays south  of the Cats. I think elevation should still remain all snow...
not a major event

I'm not sure Jason, if we can get the ULL south of Albany, this could be a decent storm for the higher elevations from the CATS to DACKS.  Right now I favor the Gore area for the best snows....above 1500 feet.  Looks like a spring storm.

MC2 5678F589 wrote

Saratogahalfday wrote

Once again we're on the edge between a big dump and disappointment.

Ski the fucking East, I guess.

I hope it pans out, be a shame if the only time I used my powder skis was December 2nd.

NorEaster27 wrote

I'm not sure Jason, if we can get the ULL south of Albany, this could be a decent storm for the higher elevations from the CATS to DACKS.  Right now I favor the Gore area for the best snows....above 1500 feet.  Looks like a spring storm.

just saw the 12z
i do agree with you..it take a while to get the 540 south of the region..indeed it does look like a spring storm
and the pattern is blah

fake news

Haha

the 12 gfs is depressing...