The Elephant in the Room...

Storm speculation 2/20-21

The mini-Feb thaw, shall we call it?  Thoughts on impacts?  Looks like at WF the period of above freezing temps could be limited to late Thursday pm to midday Friday, followed by renewed cold air that should stick around for a while.  Temps look like they may not climb above the low to mid 40's, with a mix of precip over the next 36 hours, with a little snow on the back end.  While it sucks to have any step backwards in late Feb, it looks like it won't be that bad.

I think the groomers will be quite busy resurfacing come Friday and Saturday night, but this mini-thaw will just be a blip.  Could it have bigger implications for the slack/backcountry, throwing down a weak layer that could come back to haunt us?  Hopefully not, as the forecast after this right through March looks favorable.

I'm with you. Hopeful that we won't lose much and Matt's Storm will deliver.

Long term does looks cold right now.

Not much chatter regarding Matt's storm......let's hope that's a good thing and it's one that sneaks up on us.

Skidds wrote

Storm speculation 2/20-21

Could it have bigger implications for the slack/backcountry, throwing down a weak layer that could come back to haunt us?  Hopefully not, as the forecast after this right through March looks favorable.

there's already about 4 weak layers out there.  We got stuff to whomp and crack in the woods w/ thousands of anchors!   Any wide open expanses are super unstable.  A brief warm up w/out rain or a little tiny bit of rain would be perfect....  

backside of Phelps from Saturday - human triggered but no one swept under

I'm nervous about the pattern here on out. Cold and dry and then.... hopefully it won't be like what was happening earlier this season because that was terrible.

So far, looking a little better than I thought...


ML has a point about the pattern... too cold drives storms south.

ScottyJack wrote

there's already about 4 weak layers out there.  We got stuff to whomp and crack in the woods w/ thousands of anchors!  Any wide open expanses are super unstable.  A brief warm up w/out rain or a little tiny bit of rain would be perfect....  

Yep - a little warm weather and a little rain might consolidate the layers and stabilize things, if not we will have to wait for spring corn before the slides are safe. I have stayed in the trees all season so far.

I was at West Mountain tonight. It was snowing on top and raining on the bottom.

this is a minor rain event..normal temps will be back on sunday..

we are entering the 7th inning ..

For the time being at least Eastern NY and VT is avoiding the worst of it.

Not only is the elephant in the room but he took a giant dump on the couch and pissed all over the carpet.
At least it was a cold piss.

the elephant in the room is now white and nukin!!

ScottyJack wrote

the elephant in the room is now white and nukin!!

OH HELL YES!!!

   

ScottyJack wrote

the elephant in the room is now white and nukin!!

Yep ... Changed over to snow here in Lake Placid around 3:15 or so ...

Stay Cold ... Stay Snow ... Stay Thirsty!

There may have been some snow, but the slush is gonna set up stiffer & harder then John Holmes in 8mm by Sunday.

Deep freeze doesn't arrive until Monday.  Hopefully with a couple days before it locks up some of the water will drain out of the surface and they will get some good grooming in....and maybe things won't be worse than very firm.

Skidds wrote

Deep freeze doesn't arrive until Monday.  Hopefully with a couple days before it locks up some of the water will drain out of the surface and they will get some good grooming in....and maybe things won't be worse than very firm.

Neville Chamberlain couldn't have said it better.

Glass half full or glass half empty or simply Sochi weather ?

The northway was scary icy tonight I was in the right lane with my hazards on doing 50. Saw some slipping when lane changing g. I was on edge.