Winter Weather 2017-2018

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Harvey Harvey
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Winter Weather 2017-2018

Some hope for Christmas Week?

NWS ALY LONG TERM ...

Models seem to be keying in on the best chances for precipitation on
Christmas Day (Monday). However, the exact track of a surface low
and associated thermal profiles remain highly uncertain. It should
be noted that the 00Z/19 ECMWF has trended farther south/east and
slightly colder overall with this potential system, with the 00Z/19
GFS/GEFs and GEM remaining colder similar to previous cycles. Looks
like snow or a wintry mix across at least a portion of the region
assuming these trends continue, including some freezing rain. There
remains a high degree of uncertainty for this possible storm system,
and future forecasts will likely change as we approach, so tough to
focus on the specifics this far out. However, the main message at
this point is that situational awareness should be increased that an
extended period of wintry precipitation could occur sometime between
late Sunday through Christmas Day across at least a portion of
eastern NY/western New England.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Winter 2017-2018 Weather

the models are flirting with a weakish coastal wave...followed by some very cold weather.. I would bet on a white christmas day..

As of now I don't think we will have a major rain event , but it will rain to the boarder..
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: Winter 2017-2018 Weather

looks like snow to mix to rain on Saturday followed by a break and maybe some snow on Xmas day, the trend is slightly better than what it looked like past few days.  The snowpack will take a hit but trending away from a disaster.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Winter 2017-2018 Weather

NorEaster27 wrote
looks like snow to mix to rain on Saturday followed by a break and maybe some snow on Xmas day, the trend is slightly better than what it looked like past few days.  The snowpack will take a hit but trending away from a disaster.
agree..then we get into the Blahs..
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: Winter 2017-2018 Weather

Jason, I just hope when we do get into the warm sector on Saturday its brief and not a half inch of rain....makes a huge difference for xmas week....
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Winter Weather 2017-2018



Looks like love all around...

At least this is somewhat irrefutable...


"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: Winter Weather 2017-2018

We melt the snow we receive on Friday by Saturday morning (warmth, rain and slush)...hopefully we can get a refresher xmas day but the jury is still out.  Think its cold by then just a matter of getting the storm close enough.  After Xmas its cold to very cold.
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Winter Weather 2017-2018

This is a point forecast the summit of Gore, but still it looking better...

Thursday Night:  A chance of snow, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Friday:  Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday  Night Snow likely, mainly after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday:  Rain showers, snow showers, and sleet likely before 10am, then rain showers likely between 10am and 4pm, then rain and snow showers likely after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night:  Snow showers likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday:  A chance of snow showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday Night:  Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Christmas Day:  Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Monday Night:  A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday  A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 15. Chance of precipitation is 40%.:
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
tjf1967 tjf1967
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Re: Winter Weather 2017-2018

SUCKS BALLS SO FAR!!
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Winter Weather 2017-2018

quick update
the euro went off in the 120hr..major coastal low
the gfs  nada...this should be interesting
"Peace and Love"
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