I've got a trip booked for Sugarbush in a couple weeks, I'm nervous, they do have some snow now. You'd think you'd be pretty safe planning a trip to VT for the end of January, think again, 52 degrees when I stopped skiing this afternoon. A motorcycle went by me on the way home, it's just not right. Maybe it is a sign, Dec 21st, right? Better mark that on my calender.
I still think the parallels to 06-07 are strong. I'm leaving my calendar clear on Valentine's Day.
I was really hoping for an 06-07 type cycle to start happening. After weeks of hoping for the other fist to drop, I am resigned that this will probably be one of the worst ski seasons of my life. We are still significantly behind 06-07. And while the big storms of that season had not yet come at this time, we also weren't heading into a weekend of record highs. True that NoVT got some good small storms that have added up. But trail numbers are still wicked low and don't show me that the small storms are building a great base except where the wind is blowing. Jay isn't even 1/3 open yet and 40 degrees today isn't going to help.
At least we are heading in the right direction. We know it will snow. We know it will get better. But it is going to take nothing short of the three foot Valentine's Day storm to save this season and it's going to take a massive amount more to make this a better than average or great season. We are so far behind the eight ball at this point,
Good point River....was the '06-07 season " cold " but lacking snow? Big difference as at least cold enables snowmaking and preserves what snow is down.
Back on December 7, I had put up a post with a spreadsheet of historical data comparing temps from 06-07 to December 2011 in Lake Placid. I've updated that spreadsheet as of yesterday.
When you look at the data, you can see that the pattern changed on January 9, 2007. When you compare the data, we're actually doing a little better this year than we were in 06-07. Also, some of the stuff I've been reading suggests that after this warm-up on Thursday, we may be in for a period of extended cold. Let's hope so!!!