It finally looks like there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Unfortunately we are going to have to wait one more week.
This week will feature a Low going to the west of region , everyone will have rain and maybe a few snowflakes for the upper elevations (no accumulation). This will be followed by a slight cool down for friday and saturday due to a week cold front. Later on Saturday we get into a SW flow again and will warm back up.
Now the change. A stronger trough will approach the east coast on tues. This upper level trough will allow some of the coldest air of the season to invade the area. This should set up a few days of around the clock snowmaking..
Very well done IMO and very clear. Stokular too. An excerpt:
The pattern looks to be classic for a cold and snowy 2011-2012 winter. With the PDO, AO, and the NAO being negative. We will see a deeper and more easterly jet this year. this will lead to a higher than average number of cold spells. There will be quite a few lake cutters. Also, with the larger than average number of Clippers and the greater threat of Miller B's, will keep the Great Lakes busy.
Because of the warm summer and warm fall the Lakes are very warm this year. So lake effect snows will be above normal to well above normal this winter. Much of the Northeast will be affected by the same storm systems. Most of NYS and New England will see more snow than avearge. The exception being extreme southeast NYS and areas closer to the coast. This is because most of the storms will track more to the west this winter. So places like the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas will see less snow and more of a mix or sloppy mess.
I don't think we will see an early spring. Traditionally, La Nina years see a cold and snowy March and first part of April.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp