Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

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Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

JTG4eva!
What's it mean for the upcoming NE ski season.  El Niño to be most similar to '97-'98.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

ScottyJack
better than average snowfall but warmer.  elevation as always be key...

I ride with Crazy Horse!
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

Marcski

Farmer's Almanac confirms...above normal snow and below normal cold for most of New England: (From the NYPost, the paper of record no less...it must be true!)

http://nypost.com/2015/08/16/winter-will-be-snowy-and-horrible-says-farmers-almanac/
Z
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

Z
http://opensnow.com/news/post/el-nino-part-2-how-much-snow-fell-during-previous-el-nino-winters?utm_source=internal&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20150824

The above link confirms the link to the 97-98 season.  The history is not in our favor in the NE with this.  I went back and looked at my own notes from that 98 season and it was warm with decent snow but ended very early.  My last ski day was April 5 which is weeks earlier than the norm and I had well below my average number of ski days which would indicate it was not a great season.
if You French Fry when you should Pizza you are going to have a bad time
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

Harvey
Administrator
More coastals fewer clippers?
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

PeeTex
Looks like Utah, Idaho & Wyoming will be the place to be.
Don't ski the trees, ski the spaces between the trees.
Z
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

Z
In reply to this post by Harvey
Nor Easters pretty much suck for WF.  Just big wind makers up here.  Clippers and big lake effect is best for us

Gore may do better with coastal storms
if You French Fry when you should Pizza you are going to have a bad time
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

MC2 5678F589
Ugh. Nobody knows what the winter will be like anywhere.

As someone said, temperature is key. A few degrees one way or the other can make or break each individual storm and the entire season. Anyone who claims to know what the winter is going to be like has waaaayyyy too high of an opinion on his forecasting skills.

You guys predict what you think the weather is going to be, I'll go with the historical averages over the past 20 years, and I bet I'll be closer in terms of total precipitation and monthly temperatures
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Re: Historically Strong El Niño Shaping Up

nepa
Interesting perspective for the PNW: Godzilla El Nino versus the Blob Who Will Win

A typical El Niño means 20 to 30% less snow for the PNW.  Sadly (or maybe optimistically), 75% of our normal snowpack 50% better than what we saw last season.