Storm Speculation: 12/19/10

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JasonWx JasonWx
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Storm Speculation: 12/19/10

Just a quick update..

I noticed that the news is starting to talk about the possibility for a Sunday/Monday event.
As of now this system appears to be staying off the coast, still there has been a lot of model inconsistencies. At this time I'm not comfortable in making a forecast..

Hopefully tonight I will have a clearer picture..
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: We're sending you some weather...

Just when an OTS was looking like a good possibility...the 0z Euro brings the storm back and todays 12z GFS and GGEM and right in the slot.  The storm looks to have slowed down and small differences in a few key pieces are providing very different results.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: We're sending you some weather...

the 0z ECWMF was a surprise
i would like to see everything slow down a little more, causing the trough to sharpen up a bit.
well the 12 euro will be out around 4 , should be interesting..
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: We're sending you some weather...

12z EURO moves WEST of last night, i havent seen a QPF map but this is trending in a very good direction.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: We're sending you some weather...

do you have 12z the 16th? ecwmf
the site i use doesn't give up till around 4
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: We're sending you some weather...

Yes:
Harvey Harvey
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Re: The Weather Thread 10/11

I'm no weather expert, but it seems to me that lots of tight little circles around the eastern end of Long Island is usually a good thing. In winter at least.

Nice weather stoke NorEaster27!
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: The Weather Thread 10/11

Thanks!!!

This should only verify..It will be a party for everyone!!!!
"Peace and Love"
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: The Weather Thread 10/11

In reply to this post by Harvey
:)

Jason do you know about www.americanwx.com?  Very active weather discussion with some great info.  I will do my best to post info on here also as it relates to the Mountains.  12z Euro is looking pretty good for Gore and Whiteface, the trend from last night is clearly west and the EURO is very good in this range.  Still far out...but the possibility is looking better than yesterday.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/19/10

I do agree with the trend. But I am still leery of jumping in with both feet on this one..The models have burnt me ,this far out before..

What I dread the most is the Media. The Weather Channel is going to be all over this, whipping everyone into a frenzy..
"Peace and Love"
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