Looks good for Maine. Not so good for NY.
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As of now yes..The Dacks never do well with coastal lows..This system is waiting for energy from the west to form.
But it's all in the timing..
"Peace and Love"
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Administrator
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This post was updated on .
![]() Winter Storm Watch in blue
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Administrator
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NWS ALY
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"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Administrator
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Peace offering for sno
![]() Let there be snow
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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6-8 for Gore with a tad less for whiteface
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Administrator
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Thanks man. Here in Johnsburg it looks like we are on the border between a small amount and a nice amount.
![]() NWS ALY: Snow is expected to quickly develop from NW to NE across the area Thursday morning into early afternoon with an initial surge of isentropic lift and southerly flow aloft. Then, as the cyclone rapidly intensifies along the New England coast late Thursday into Thursday night, mesoscale banding appears likely along the west side of the storm where strong frontogenesis is forecast to occur. Could be a setup for a strong and potentially large band based on CSTAR research. The location of this possible band of 2"+ per hour snowfall rates is still in question this far out though. There are still some model discrepancies, with the ECMWF and the NAM most aggressive with heavy QPF from banding making into the north/central Taconics and western New England. For this reason, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for Washington county, northern and central Taconics, all of southern Vermont, the Berkshires and northern Litchfield counties. A few to several inches of snow will be possible farther west, but areas in the watch have a higher confidence for 6-12 inches of snow with perhaps more if mesoscale banding sets up in this area. There is still some guidance (GFS/CMC) showing the best F-Gen and banding farther eastward into New England. Additional Winter Storm Watches or eventually Advisories will likely be needed later in time for the rest of the area as confidence increases, so will continue to mention this potential in the HWO.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Administrator
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"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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In reply to this post by JasonWx
In case of nor'easter all lows should be off the coast.
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Unless you ski the Townships..Then you want that bad boy to cut across central Ct.. Still to early to pin point amounts..The winners will probably be NH and ME.. It's like trying to catch a falling knife...Dealing with a low that hasn't formed yet..
"Peace and Love"
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Administrator
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Scott B says the gradient is so tight, he thinking there's a chance it could skunk. And he's talking about NoVt.
Still to him 6" is probably a skunk. I'd smile wide for that 6 to 8. ![]()
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Careful dude - this is a family site.
Don't ski the trees, ski the spaces between the trees.
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In reply to this post by Harvey
The greens from Stowe to Killington are all in line for 12 to 20 inches
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GFS is showing a streak of heavy snow almost like a lake effect band on the last 2 runs that runs right over Gore.... saw a snow map on FB earlier that shows 6-12" in that band... here's hoping!!!!
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QPF from the NAM FOUS 18z
Has .60 for both BTV and ALB... I would say 4-6 for Gore looks good using this data.. Still to early... http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/fous/FOUS61
"Peace and Love"
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Administrator
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"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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In reply to this post by JasonWx
Too early? It's tomorrow... I like 6 to 8 for Gore
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In reply to this post by Harvey
That's the word on the street. Not that there's anything wrong with that. |
In reply to this post by NorEaster27
Seems that the potential for this storm to bomb is what is causing the storm watches. What factors do forecasters use to predict bombogenesis, and how reliable (hard to predict) are they? In a case like this it seems it won't happen until it happens, or not at all. I can see that being a tough forecast even less than 24 hours out. Doing squat down here in Dutchess County btw....
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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I'm up here in the what I call upnorthaland. My local buddie up here who really know the weather is telling me,this storm will drop a dusting to twelve inches.
These are words to live by.
"No Falls=No Bslls
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