It was over 70 in Central NY about this time last year, followed by a massive gully washer with thunder and lightning. If it doesn't hit 70 on tuesday, we will be doing better than last year. Next week looks a bit more seasonable, and Woodstream will be seeing some full bore snowmaking that week as Joe Snow will be home from college the following week.
I was at Windham yesterday (Sunday). From what I saw there, and even after the 1-2" they had had Saturday night, it's inconceivable to me how they could still be open come this weekend. It was getting just so icy towards the end of the day Sunday and people were taking spills left and right. I can't imagine how it fared today (Monday) and what 3 days of warmth and rain will do. I would imagine the other Catskills areas are in similar shape. It looks like they did a solid job of building and protecting a base but I just don't see how it lasts or how it gets rebuilt. But hope springs eternal.
I would say this will be close to a season killer unless there are some extended periods for snow making in the next 10 days. I don't see that right now. We are approaching a tipping point and extended winter in the northeast may only be for a good month.
The average highs in the Catskills start to hit 40 degrees by the end of the first week of March. So unless we get a good extended run of below normal temps and above normal snow fall, I could see only Hunter making it until the end of March.
Traditionally Belleayre makes it longer than Hunter. Hunter gets all the credit for snowmaking around here, but truth is Belleayre makes a shit ton of snow too. And they have high elevation and favorable exposure. Since Peak bought Hunter they haven't made nearly as much snow.
High elevation and far north mountains like Whiteface would normally be fine but everything is super thin except a few blue and green trails. So there will be skiing, but it won't be anything worth doing driving there for.
I have my sights set of Jay and Tremblant to keep my season alive. Tremblant always blows a huge base on every trail and Jay has the best chance to get a big dump of snow and have just about everything open with powder while everywhere else is dirt and rocks. K and Okemo max pass days will also be useful.