Storm Speculation 12/29/16

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MC2 5678F589 MC2 5678F589
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Storm Speculation 12/29/16

Looks good for Maine. Not so good for NY.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

As of now yes..The Dacks never do well with coastal lows..This system is waiting for energy from the west to form.
But it's all in the timing..
"Peace and Love"
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16


Winter Storm Watch in blue
"I'm all about Clouding Out. I'm a teleskier now!" —tBatt
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

NWS ALY
"I'm all about Clouding Out. I'm a teleskier now!" —tBatt
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

Peace offering for sno

Let there be snow
"I'm all about Clouding Out. I'm a teleskier now!" —tBatt
NorEaster27 NorEaster27
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

6-8 for Gore with a tad less for whiteface
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

Thanks man.  Here in Johnsburg it looks like we are on the border between a small amount and a nice amount.



NWS ALY:

Snow is expected to quickly develop from NW to NE across the area
Thursday morning into early afternoon with an initial surge of
isentropic lift and southerly flow aloft. Then, as the cyclone
rapidly intensifies along the New England coast late Thursday into
Thursday night, mesoscale banding appears likely along the west side
of the storm where strong frontogenesis is forecast to occur. Could
be a setup for a strong and potentially large band based on CSTAR
research. The location of this possible band of 2"+ per hour snowfall
rates is still in question this far out though. There are still some
model discrepancies, with the ECMWF and the NAM most aggressive with
heavy QPF from banding making into the north/central Taconics and
western New England. For this reason, a Winter Storm Watch has been
issued for Washington county, northern and central Taconics, all of
southern Vermont, the Berkshires and northern Litchfield counties.

A few to several inches of snow will be possible farther west, but
areas in the watch have a higher confidence for 6-12 inches of snow
with perhaps more if mesoscale banding sets up in this area. There
is still some guidance (GFS/CMC) showing the best F-Gen and banding
farther eastward into New England. Additional Winter Storm Watches
or eventually Advisories will likely be needed later in time for
the rest of the area as confidence increases, so will continue to
mention this potential in the HWO.
"I'm all about Clouding Out. I'm a teleskier now!" —tBatt
Harvey Harvey
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

"I'm all about Clouding Out. I'm a teleskier now!" —tBatt
ml242 ml242
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

In reply to this post by JasonWx
In case of nor'easter all lows should be off the coast.
JasonWx JasonWx
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Re: Storm Speculation 12/29/16

ml242 wrote
In case of nor'easter all lows should be off the coast.
Unless you ski the Townships..Then you want that bad boy to cut across central Ct..

Still to early to pin point amounts..The winners will probably be NH and ME..
It's like trying to catch a falling knife...Dealing with a low that hasn't formed yet..
"Peace and Love"
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