Winter Weather 2017-2018

sunday is rain boarder to boarder...

saturday looks to be ok as of now...

A lot of rain incoming before the block gets established and then we may worry about suppression depression

Mattchuck,

It's always you and "Rusher".  Why even our Nation's President pointed out during his overwhelming Election Campaign Victory that whole left-wing climate-change charade was the work of China!  You must have been blinded by his grasp of Science in general and his focus in particular on bringing clean coal back to antiquated power plants with 40,000 jobs!

That being said, we're enjoying marvelous April conditions in our neck of the woods, how about you?  Oh wait...it's still February.

Slide You On The Ice Flows,

64ER

The latest runs were ugly...Rain followed by seasonable temps , followed by more rain..rinse and repeat..

Any hope for March?

to be honest..no clue..
but history tells us we usually have a major event in March..

Buck up, Buttercup.....this seems a little pessimistic!  It’s probably more showers than rain, and seasonable temps this time of year will keep the melt away, at least for northern mountains.  Chance for a few inches next Wed/Thurs?

Nothing major on the plus side in the two week outlook, but nothing horrible either.  I guess we take what little we can get.....which may not be so bad given a bunch of people were calling the season a couple days ago.

March has explosive potential, much higher chance than normal of a major storm.  My worry at least for the first half of march is that any big storms could be pushed south of the mountains....due to massive blocking high pressure

Next few days are not showers, the mountains will have multiple heavy rain events...

JTG4eva! wrote

Buck up, Buttercup.....this seems a little pessimistic!  It’s probably more showers than rain, and seasonable temps this time of year will keep the melt away, at least for northern mountains.  Chance for a few inches next Wed/Thurs?

Nothing major on the plus side in the two week outlook, but nothing horrible either.  I guess we take what little we can get.....which may not be so bad given a bunch of people were calling the season a couple days ago.

I'm gonna have to respectfully disagree..

Today will be showery , but sunday , looks to be very wet with strong southerlies..

Ok, fair enough.  I’m really only looking at Whiteface.  Down in the Cats it could be mid 40s with an inch plus of ncp Sat through Sun.  That’s ugly.  Seems to be less qpf and lower temps the further north you move.

the NAM wrings out about .75 inches of liquid for Alb and BTV

Hoping that latitude and elevation make a little difference up at WF.  Whereas the NOAA Graphical forecasts agree with .75 qpf and above freezing temps from Albany to Gore......they have precip arriving a little later/tapering off a little sooner, with lesser overall qpf (less than .5), and some flakes mixing in up North.

The Plymouth State weather weenies reporting on Open Snow seem to hold out the possibility of some Sunday flakes for northern locales as well.

As Sno pointed out.....I’m an optimist!!!

JTG4eva! wrote

As Sno pointed out.....I’m an optimist!!!

PNW is in the cross-hairs this weekend... coldest air of the season locked in place... snow every day, 2-3ft of Blower Pow expected by Monday.

Enjoy......f*@ker!

Why couldn't that Biz trip I took back in Jan have taken place this week...I had a great time out there in Jan, but man would it be sweet to be out there this weekend...

Funny thing is my uncle went on a last minute trip out west booked this week. I tried to convince him to go to the PNW as they were about to get dumped on...He insisted on going to Park City. Not that it was a bad decision as they are getting snow too, but nothing like the PNW is going to get. I'd be out there myself with him if I could take days off on short notice but alas, I can't.

NWS ALY

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Period of relative calm Tuesday-Wednesday, before possible storm
system affects at least portions of region for Thursday-Friday.

There are signals from multiple global models and their ensemble
suites of a developing coastal storm for Thursday-Friday, although
the exact details regarding any track or evolution are obviously
sketchy at this time range. However, several pieces of the puzzle
which suggest some form of a slow moving, potentially high-impact
storm include a possible strong blocking upper level high
retrograding west/southwest to the south of Greenland, as well as
strong pieces of energy both in the northern and southern stream
approaching from the west. If the two incoming pieces of energy are
timed just right and phase, the retrograding block to the north
could allow for a closed mid/upper tropospheric low to develop, and
could allow any surface low to remain slow moving, although too
strong of a block could shunt the storm farther south and east of
the region and limit any impacts. These initial signals could favor
an elevation snow storm across the region, if not more widespread.
So again, trends will need to be watched through the upcoming week.
For now, chances of rain/snow in valleys, and mainly snow for higher
elevations have been included for late Thursday into Friday. Daytime
highs are currently forecast to be in the upper 30s to mid 40s
Thursday, cooling to the 30s to around 40 Friday, although these
temperatures could be colder if stratiform precipitation occurs.
Overnight lows mainly in the upper 20s to lower/mid 30s.

Three feet!

All eyes on next Friday