Storm Speculation 2/2/15

another potential coastal storm ?

Not sure it's coastal?  I like it though...



LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

A COLD YET ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

WE BEGIN THE WEEKEND ON A QUIET YET CHILLY END TO JANUARY WITH A
NARROW SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CWFA.  HOWEVER...A
FAST MOVING IMPULSE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
NIGHT AS AN ARCTIC SURFACE BOUNDARY SLIDES INTO UPSTATE NY.  THIS
MAY TOUCH OFF A PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE WE WILL HAVE THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS INTO
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN DACKS.

THIS FRONT BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY INTO THE FIRST DAY OF FEBRUARY
/SUNDAY/ AND LOSES ITS DEFINITION AS ATTENTION QUICKLY SHIFTS TOWARD
A DEVELOPING STORM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  A STRONG PV ANOMALY IS
FORECAST TO DIVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES AND OUT
ONTO THE PLAINS AS THE CUTOFF UPPER LOW NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
EJECTS OUT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE
PRESSURE FALLS AS LATEST 00Z GLOBAL RUNS POINT TOWARD A DEEPENING
CYCLONE TRACKING ALONG THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THERMAL COLUMN APPEARS TO BE COLD FOR A SNOW EVENT WITH THIS SYSTEM
/THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WOULD BE THE GGEM WITH A WARMER SOLUTION WITH
HIGHER QPF VALUES/.  SPEAKING OF QPF/S...BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS AND EVEN
THE DGEX ARE RATHER HIGH WITH GENERALLY AROUND ONE INCH WATER
EQUIVALENT. PLUME DIAGRAMS FROM THE GFS...AS ONE WOULD EXPECTED AS
THE POTENTIAL EVENT IS MANY DAYS AWAY...VARY GREATLY BUT THE
CONSENSUS IS CLOSE TO THAT ONE INCH WATER EQUIVALENT.  WE WILL
CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.

Put down your sausages, maybe another storm for Ground Hogs day. Just saw a forecast that is showing another possible Neast'r. Looks like the weather patterns are changing. Some sites are showing about 6" in the Daks for Monday.

Looks like it's shaping up as another coastal?

6-10 for NYC Sunday into Monday, 4-8 by me in the Hudson Valley, 1-3 in the Cats and up Albany way, maybe a little for Gore, zip for WF.

At least according to a couple forecasts right now.

Seems like this is being softsold maybe because of the whole Juno apology tour.

This map is surely overblow for amounts but looks like it's centered on the cats.

It is looking like a good storm for the cats and possibly the southern Daks

finally a event that everyone should do well on..wide spread 8-14" for everyone

Might have to reschedule a meeting I have on Tuesday.  Looking like a Powder Daize.

OK so this is sad as you are all out skiing and I am watching Linus...The Storm, evolve...only to know I cannot ski tomorrow either.  But Tuesday Morning   I'll take what's left.  So they are creeping this thing north and from looking at the models, the NAM has been officially thrown out but Euro and GFS still a little apart.  Gore may end up being the bullseye or just a bit south (Lake George).  Whiteface will get a big shot in the arm as they need it.  Hopefully a foot at least.  Back to the pizzas I am preparing for a Superbowl party, that I could really care less since my teams are doing the same as me

NWS all in baby...

I'm pulling in a chit and using it for a pass at Gore Tomorrow.

Feeling sick for tmrw morning...I'll be at GORE...who's gonna be there for storm skiing?

How many days a year you get at Gore P?

Coming down I'd say "moderately" maybe an inch down in North River.

Well lookie here it's snowing in New York...



Two or three inches of fine, dense snow here in North RIver.  

Don't know how it can be dense at 3 degrees, but it is.

5"-6" here in Conklin and still coming. WEE DOGGY

Fought the urge to blow today off to ski Greek, taking tomorrow off for a Platty Powder Daize instead. Still gonna hit GP after work today. Finally, a friggin snowstorm, yay!

Enjoying the fresh pow at creek right now.  We got a foot and the black diamonds are ungroomed.  No one here either.  Right now I'm lapping Grand Prix and I'm gonna move over to Big Bear when South opens at noon.

We got a foot at GP and still snowing

Got first tracks on Big Bear proven by these pictures.  Lift served even so powder happens in Jersey.

Nice! AND Powass approved...