Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Harvey
Administrator
So this time my interpretation of the crazy GFS map was legit?
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

JasonWx
lol

up until yesterday the dacks where high and dry..

still all good..I love a storm were we all get over
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Harvey
Administrator
This is what I said:

Harvey wrote
Here's the way I interpret that map:

There is a good chance of significant or measurable snow in the northeast early next week.

Is that accurate?
Looking kind of blockbustery:

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

louie.mirags
forget which model predicted it first... POW is incoming!
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Ethan Snow
In reply to this post by Harvey
Received this this AM. I'm covered by the Binghamton area, but it looks like it could have a good impact on the Catskills and probably the Adirondacks as well.  I am really liking what I'm seeing.



I'll take boilerplate ice over wet snow any day
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

x10003q
According to the NWS, the storm is shifting north and west.

"
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1046 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

00z operational models have exhibited a significant north and
westward shift of low track.

Models in good agreement with a major coastal storm that will impact
the region tonight into Tue Night. This is in response to PAC
energy over the central plains this morning...continuing to dive
into the to the gulf coast and phase with subtropical energy
tonight. A noticeable shift to a deeper phasing across the Gulf
coast is being signaled...providing a more negative tilt to the
phased shortwave energy as it tracks up the coast towards the
area Tuesday morning around digging and closing northern stream
energy through the Great Lakes. This is spelling a significant
shift to the N&W of storm track for Tuesday.

At the surface...the above scenario will allow for low pressure to
develop across the Gulf/SE US coast today...but now track N over the
Carolina coast by late this evening. Models are now spelling a much
farther north track of low pressure up the DelMarVa coast as it
rapidly intensifies Tue morning...eventually veering NE and
tracking close to Montauk Point Tue aft as a 980-ish low. This
a good 50+ mile NW shift of the model guidance from 24 hrs
ago...while also depicting quite a bit stronger low than 24 hrs
ago."
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Chris
Steve LaPoint just reported that we're looking at 25-35+ inches
The day begins...  Your mountain awaits.
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

JasonWx
New 12z GFS is out..
There is a slight jog to the east. Still thinking 1-2 for the Cats/Green/NH..ADK are a tough call..
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

campgottagopee
Jason, are you thinking the same for CNY?
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

JasonWx
In reply to this post by Chris
Chris wrote
Steve LaPoint just reported that we're looking at 25-35+ inches

This is from Steve's Facebook page..
25-35 is for wind


Total snowfall should be very high, with widespread amounts of anywhere from 12"-20" with the 12" amounts more likely in the Adks. Locally 18"-24" in the eastern Catskills, mid Hudson valley, Berkshires into southern VT.
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

BenedictGomez
The 12z Euro (below) that just came out is a snowporn monster.

And if you take the below pic and Kuchera it up, it isnt just snowporn, it's nasty XXX Japanese snowporn.


Can we get SOME snow?  Please?
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

ScottyJack
WF in the two foot zone!
I ride with Crazy Horse!
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

JasonWx
In reply to this post by BenedictGomez
and some german /russian porn too
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

BenedictGomez
JasonWx wrote
and some german /russian porn too
I have the Euro Kuchera snowfall map on my PC, but I didnt post it because I felt like I would have needed to bathe in antibacterial soap.
Can we get SOME snow?  Please?
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Harvey
Administrator
Probably a really good sign for the  mountains, we are starting to get sleet. Hard to tell with the wind, but looks like 6-8 inches down.

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Harvey
Administrator
Blizzard Warnings, in red, (wind) extended well northward:

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Sick Bird Rider
It is a monster. Check out the tracker on windytv:
https://www.windytv.com/?rain,36.862,-71.455,5,m:eM3ad5O
Love Jay Peak? Hate Jay Peak? You might enjoy this: The Real Jay Peak Snow Report
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

Harvey
Administrator
Wow that ^^ is cool.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

greyMoose
WindyTV has an app for iPhone and Android...pretty darn cool too
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Re: Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

JasonWx
I found out about Windy 6 months ago..Real cool site, used primarily for the sailing community..
"Peace and Love"
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