Local guys says we're in the 4 to 8 around here by saturday evening (lake effect), if we get just a few more inches on top of that on tuesday I may get one more ride on the sled. I'm certainly ready for warm temps but why fight it.
Single chair getting excited. Says its almost lined up! Waiting for this afternoons euro but they've trended right and the averages are in our favor!
Talking valentine 2007 caliber
There's going to be a nice storm, yes, but statistical probability of a "mega-event" for MRG (and certainly ADK) are significantly lower today than they were yesterday at this time, after the 00z, 12z, and now 18z model runs. We need to stop the slight eastern movement, and ideally, see a bit of a western push.
Why such a spread between the 00z GFS and NAM I wonder? GFS is heading toward more of a glancing blow, while NAM still indicates direct hit.
You really shouldnt be bothering with the NAM until tomorrow afternoon (errrr this afternoon) when it gets into its' timeframe of best skill.
The important thing right now is that the 00z GFS was an improvement over the 12z GFS, and the 00z Euro was an improvement over the 12z Euro, delivering >= 10" from Virginia to Quebec. Trend is looking decent.
Jason, I saw wind on Wednesday. If I can out to the cats do you recommend Wednesday or Thursday more? Thursday looks less windy so I was thinking better but I don't know how the snow will settle. Thanks!