Storm Speculation 3/14/17 to 3/15/17

They're using the N word. (Nor'easter)
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/noreaster-may-bury-mid-atlantic-new-england-with-heavy-snow-next-week/70001075
This snow forecast tool is pretty cool too.
https://weather.com/storms/winter-central/winter-storm-tracker/l/USDC0001:1:US?zoom=5&layer=snow48&animation=yes

Still 5 days out..but it looks to thump NH /VT/ Maine pretty hard..

the I95 corridor gets a nice dump too...

Harv were do you get those snow maps from..not accurate at all

GFS?

While the totals are always overblown, that doesn't mean they don't provide information.

Here's the way I interpret that map:

There is a good chance of significant or measurable snow in the northeast early next week.

Is that accurate?

Local guys says we're in the 4 to 8 around here by saturday evening (lake effect), if we get just a few more inches on top of that on tuesday I may get one more ride on the sled. I'm certainly ready for warm temps but why fight it.

I am hoping this current run stays close to true!  I originally took off for 3/17/17 but I may have that changed to tuesday or wed.

 This is Hunter Mtn

Snowing right now!

campgottagopee wrote

if we get just a few more inches on top of that on tuesday I may get one more ride on the sled.

What about skiing?

If we get this snow I'm planning on tuesday AM

Single chair getting excited. Says its almost lined up!   Waiting for this afternoons euro but they've trended right and the averages are in our favor!  

Talking valentine 2007 caliber

ScottyJack wrote

Single chair getting excited. Says its almost lined up!   Waiting for this afternoons euro but they've trended right and the averages are in our favor!  

Talking valentine 2007 caliber

I agree

but many more runs to go

ScottyJack wrote

Single chair getting excited. Says its almost lined up!   Waiting for this afternoons euro but they've trended right and the averages are in our favor!  

Talking valentine 2007 caliber

There's going to be a nice storm, yes, but statistical probability of a "mega-event" for MRG (and certainly ADK) are significantly lower today than they were yesterday at this time, after the 00z, 12z, and now 18z model runs.  We need to stop the slight eastern movement, and ideally, see a bit of a western push.

From my heroes over at
 http://www.hudsonvalleyweather.com

Why such a spread between the 00z GFS and NAM I wonder? GFS is heading toward more of a glancing blow, while NAM still indicates direct hit.

Scersk wrote

Why such a spread between the 00z GFS and NAM I wonder? GFS is heading toward more of a glancing blow, while NAM still indicates direct hit.

You really shouldnt be bothering with the NAM until tomorrow afternoon (errrr this afternoon) when it gets into its' timeframe of best skill.

The important thing right now is that the 00z GFS was an improvement over the 12z GFS, and the 00z Euro was an improvement over the 12z Euro, delivering >= 10" from Virginia to Quebec.  Trend is looking decent.

kind of a easy forecast..1-2 ft for everyone..maybe a bit more for eastern Vt and NH..

So easy can be good....

Jason, I saw wind on Wednesday.  If I can out to the cats do you recommend Wednesday or Thursday more?   Thursday looks less windy so I was thinking better but I don't know how the snow will settle.  Thanks!

it will be breezy on wed..but should be ok

the snow will have some density to it..

JasonWx wrote

kind of a easy forecast..1-2 ft for everyone..maybe a bit more for eastern Vt and NH..

I like it when you talk dirty.