Possible Thanksgiving Day storm.. Over the last few days the models have been advertising a Wed or Thanksgiving Day coastal. As of now it looks like it would be snow from the Cats north. It is still 5 or 6 days away so much can still change..
Now that was the good news..
Now the bad.. The long range looks awful. I am having trouble finding any indication on any model, that the current pattern will change..
THINGS GET INTERESTING AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO AREA. THIS HIGH IS OF ARCTIC ORIGIN AND TEMPERATURES TODAY UNDER THE HIGH ARE VERY COLD. IN FACT... MODELS MAY BE UNDER DOING COLD PUSH INTO OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
COLD AIR DRAINS IN FROM NORTH AS OPPOSED TO PASSING OVER RELATIVELY WARM GREAT LAKES WATERS...WHICH MEANS LESS MODIFICATION...SO I WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED IF TEMPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY ARE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES COLDER THAN FORECAST...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF ALBANY. THIS HAS IMPLICATIONS AS A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BRING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT AND A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM IS SUPPOSED TO BRING PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
latest model run is leaning towards a warmer solution for wed/thurs system..it doesn't look like a significant snow event..maybe some snow mixed with rain , then turning very warm later in the period..
Using Saranac Lake as the location to gauge WF weather, which I understand is much closer to actual than using Wilmington, appears the nights will be fine, days marginal, and Wed could be a snow event.
Yes, another warm up next weekend, but this week at higher elevation actually does allow snowmaking quite a bit
I am not really worried about the lower elevations. However, it is 35 degrees here right now and dry. I can't imagine seeing much rain here in Toga and it should be white by morning with temps this low already. Gore could get a nice coating but I haven't seen any updates on their snowmaking (but I know that will be another thread...)
Proud to call Gore My Home Mountain
Covid stole what would have been my longest season ever!
I'll be back