Storm Speculation Thread, 1/18-1/19/20

I'm getting a bit desperate here....

If it's anything like 1/20/19, we'll all be happy.  

considering the model only goes out to the 16th

why not

I'm all for it

The longish range forecast is still predicting a snow event MLK weekend, or shortly after.

GFS only goes out to Sat 1/18..shows nice and sunny..but that's 384hrs /total BS..

looks like next week will be cold enough to make snow around the clock... still not a inspiring pattern..
go west young man/woman...

Bump

Good call bro 👍

JasonWx wrote

go west young man/woman...

Crystal snowfall since Saturday evening.....and a winter storm warning thru 10am tomorrow.

Deep and untracked.

Nice!!!

JTG4eva! wrote

JasonWx wrote

go west young man/woman...

Crystal snowfall since Saturday evening.....and a winter storm warning thru 10am tomorrow.

Deep and untracked.

But you can’t get there. The lots are full and pass holders are being sent away😭

Yeah, this weekend they were telling people if you hadn’t left Enumclaw (40 mi away) by 7:30 am don’t bother coming....

JTG4eva! wrote

Yeah, this weekend they were telling people if you hadn’t left Enumclaw (40 mi away) by 7:30 am don’t bother coming....

You should have come over to Echo... we had Bluebird with some finely dusted groomers on a 5.5 inch base... it was ski-on all day!!

You rarely hear local weather folk call for a major snow event 6 days ahead of it, but they are today.  No idea on timing, track, duration, power, ect, but every station here admitted all models are pointing towards a winter event.  From what I could tell, having a coastal low form is the key for a big dump Saturday into Sunday.

NWS ALY

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

Active winter weather expected to return on Saturday, as a primary
cyclone is forecast to track from the Midwest to the lower Great
Lakes. Southerly flow and isentropic lift will increase in our area
ahead of the eastward advancing cyclone. Model guidance in fairly
good agreement with regards to the track/intensity of this system.

There is increasing probability for a moderate to heavy snowfall
across much if not the entire region, as both 12Z deterministic and
ensemble guidance support this trend. Guidance indicating a Miller
Type B system, with a secondary coastal cyclone developing Saturday
night near SE New England. At this time it appears most of the
precip in our area would be from the primary cyclone. With the
southerly flow regime at 925-850 mb, local research indicates the
maximum snowfall to set up across the southern Adirondacks, the
Glens Falls/Saratoga region and the southern Greens of VT. While
thermal profiles have shown a cooling trend, there could still be a
chance of mixing for areas SE of Albany Saturday night as thermal
profiles become borderline as the primary cyclone tracks just north
and west of our area. Still too early for specific snow accumulation
numbers, but will mention possibility of moderate to heavy snowfall
in the Hazardous Weather Outlook.

On Sunday, the storm is forecast to consolidate and deepen east of
Cape Cod. While widespread snow should be ending for our area, lake
effect and upslope snow showers will be possible in favored spots,
with cold/windy conditions for the rest of the area. An upper level
trough with a NW flow regime is expected to become established
Sunday night into Monday, resulting in continued chances for snow
showers across the mountains and lake effect areas with below normal
temperatures and breezy conditions across the entire area. Winter
looks be settling back in after a lengthy reprieve.

Harvey wrote

I like the way this looks for Gore currently...time to negotiate a day trip Sunday since I will be in Morristown Saturday nite that could give me a nice head start to getting on the road...

I know your in FL Jason but what's gonna happen with this. ??

Yea Jason are you retired or what?  :)

THIS IS NOT MEANT TO OFFEND
should I look at weather or this

I will remove it soon