Long Term Prognostication: Winter 2011-12

Whoa, whoa, whoa little buck-a-roos!  let's stop w/ the debbie downer dosage!!

I'm going w/ the Josh Fox 4cast.  Sounds like the east coast is in for some action!!

I agree with frosty.

i usually agree with with Josh..I think he is wrong this time..I bet he changes his tune..
I spoke to someone who is friends with Okemo's management..Okemo is ready to throw in the towel and suspend snowmaking very soon..

ScottyJack wrote

Whoa, whoa, whoa little buck-a-roos!  let's stop w/ the debbie downer dosage!!

I'm with you!

As of the 26th, Herb Stevens, "The Skiing Weatherman", was still calling for an upper level trough to develop, locking in some colder air for a while. He hasn't put out an updated outlook yet, but until he throws in the towel, I'm holding on to my optimism for February!!!

If nothing else, the current NOAA forecast for Lake Placid & Wilmington is calling for some very nice, seasonal weather beginning on Thursday and going through Monday at least. We just have to get through tomorrow. It looks like we could be in for a pretty good weekend. Here's hoping!!!

... oh, and go GIANTS!!!!


 

JasonWx wrote

 Okemo is ready to throw in the towel and suspend snowmaking very soon..

That's scary. As Aussie noted elsewhere, we're only a couple weeks away from the traditional end of snowmaking. How much snow can any Mtn continue to make ? Business/money is probably already down due to low snowfall.

JasonWx wrote

..Okemo is ready to throw in the towel and suspend snowmaking very soon..

Thats terrifying..I feel like the season just started...

jimvdak wrote

Thats terrifying..I feel like the season just started...

I won't feel like the season has started until the woods open up.  By that measure, it is entirely possible this could be a non-season for Gore skiers.  Yes, some folks have been in the woods on a limited basis, but...
To tell the truth, I had a worried feeling about this season from the first few weeks, when Gore / WF barely pulled off a Thanksgiving opening and conditions were very marginal for the first 2 weekends.  I'm still hoping.

 i usually agree with with Josh..I think he is wrong this time..I bet he changes his tune..

He changed his tune...

I wished he was right..not to be

http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/2012/01/ugh-two-potential-storms-look-dead.html

JasonWx wrote

He changed his tune...

I wished he was right..not to be

http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/2012/01/ugh-two-potential-storms-look-dead.html

well his tune is still not all doom and gloom.  

I'm not all doom and gloom either...I just see no meaningful improvement in our situation..Colder weather is on the way,but the pattern is blah...

Adk Jeff wrote

I won't feel like the season has started until the woods open up.  By that measure, it is entirely possible this could be a non-season for Gore skiers.  

Agreed.

Adk Jeff wrote

jimvdak wrote

Thats terrifying..I feel like the season just started...

 I had a worried feeling about this season from the first few weeks, when Gore / WF barely pulled off a Thanksgiving opening and conditions were very marginal for the first 2 weekends.  I'm still hoping.

By those parameters, last year would have been bad too..

miker92 wrote

Adk Jeff wrote

I won't feel like the season has started until the woods open up.  By that measure, it is entirely possible this could be a non-season for Gore skiers.  

Agreed.

I've been feeling that way all season

I just want SOME positive news at this point.  Something to pin some hope on.  It's February for God's sake

the ground hog saw his shadow. that's great news!!

Lionel:

http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/wetter-fur-naechstes-woche-7-2-11-zwi-2-12-11/

"We’ll see sustained cold temps as a high pressure system pumps cold air into the Northeast. We should have periods of snow flurries as weak areas of moisture move through. Two noticeable events will come with re-inforcing cold fronts. As these fronts move across the -20c air at 850 will work to spark snow showers of the very light and fluffy cold snow variety. Nothing looks tooo robust on the GFS but I’m sure each of these fronts has the chance to produce 4-6 inches of light snow across the Greens and ADK. So winter looks a little locked in for the next 10 days.

Beyond that we see the pattern relax a touch – which is a good thing. On or about President’s day/the few days after valentines day with the pattern relaxing we’ll see increased chances for a major east coast storm. Stay tuned."

If you are interested in weather, what is going on in Europe is biblical. The canals of Venice froze for the first time since 1929. The Balkans are getting buried..Fascinating stuff..

That said , I think we are going to have a big March. We haven't had a good March in years and the pattern can't stay locked the way it is. Lets hope I'm right..

JasonWx wrote

If you are interested in weather, what is going on in Europe is biblical. The canals of Venice froze for the first time since 1929. The Balkans are getting buried..Fascinating stuff..

That said , I think we are going to have a big March. We haven't had a good March in years and the pattern can't stay locked the way it is. Lets hope I'm right..

I knew it, knew it, knew it.....GP crew is gonna have a rawkin good time and great skiing at the Face....all the azz clowns can thank me later

Albany weather ....55 degrees tomorrow, 60 degrees Thursday.....I'll have to take my convertible to the Mtn.

With the warm weather coming, will Gore be able to get past or even into this weekend?  Any thoughts?

Gore will have no problem getting through the next 2 weekends...Warm days cool nights, that snowmaking base isn't going anywhere..