Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

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Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

DackerDan
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

JasonWx
This one ain't looking so pertty..The low goes up the St Lawrence..Still may days away, Hopefully will trend south and east
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

JasonWx
New 12 GFS paints a very ugly picture for this weekend..Lets hope it's wrong..
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

MC2 5678F589
Clipper before then might be nice, though.

In all seriousness, a little warm up and a mix, followed by a hard freeze might be real nice to solidify a nice base in the woods... As long as the rain isn't too soaking, it might be pretty perfect.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

JasonWx
Many moons ago I went Heli skiing in BC, the guides were praying for a soaking rain to solidify the base..

Time will tell with this system
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

DackerDan
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

MC2 5678F589
No, I had to bail early. Plus I heard earlier that there wasn't any free beer this year! Please tell me that wasn't true!
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

DackerDan
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

MC2 5678F589
Yeah, the food is always good at those things. I wanted to stay, but you know, commitments...
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

warp daddy
Looks like we may be in the bullseye up here along the river for 6-12 , we'll see?
Life ain't a dress rehearsal: Spread enthusiasm , avoid negative nuts.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

Noah John
You're making the call six days out while the models are still arguing about it?  Bold.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

warp daddy
Bold ???  Hell Yeah, NJ. , why not ????   I call all this  prognosticating stuff, weather guessing anyhoo;)
Life ain't a dress rehearsal: Spread enthusiasm , avoid negative nuts.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

Noah John
I think it's sort of cool that these models can sniff out events 6,8 even 10 days or more before they hit.  Sure they're fuzzy on specifics (including really important ones from a practical point of view, like precip type) but the fact that they even can forecast that something will impact the area that far away blows my mind.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

Harvey
Administrator
I agree. Without the advance notice on this past weekend's storm I wouldn't have been skiing.  The long range is the thing that gives me a shot a new snow.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

DackerDan
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

JasonWx
I think the long range does a good job with the Long Wave pattern. This weekends R event has was being advertised many days ago.
A cut off low in the south west is usually the kiss of death for the north east..
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

Noah John
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DackerDan wrote
The models have such huge error bands that more than a day or two out it's like rolling dice in Vegas.
That's not true.  Not even a little bit.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

DackerDan
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

MC2 5678F589
DackerDan wrote
Ok, you caught me- I lied.
Holy shit. I've never seen this in a forum before. Someone actually admitted they were wrong? I'm surprised the internet didn't explode.
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Re: Storm Speculation: 12/22/13

Harvey
Administrator
mattchuck2 wrote
DackerDan wrote
Ok, you caught me- I lied.
Holy shit. I've never seen this in a forum before. Someone actually admitted they were wrong? I'm surprised the internet didn't explode.
I think I saw the lights flicker.

Storm does look to be tracking west:

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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