I kind of like that forecast considering I am headed to FLA this week. I was looking at the GFS MRF this morning and it has the Christmas storm pretty close to the coast...it's still early and it is going to make for a tough drive home but I would like leftovers at Gore on the 28th
Proud to call Gore My Home Mountain
Covid stole what would have been my longest season ever!
I'll be back
THE FORECAST FOR CHRISTMAS DAY INTO MONDAY IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY LIES IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT NOR`EASTER DURING THIS TIME.
OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE OF THE GFS/GGEM/ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLES ARE NOW ALL ON BOARD WITH SHOWING A DEEPENING LOW MOVING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND RECURVING NORTHEAST WHILE IT DEEPENS CONSIDERABLY JUST OFF THE COAST EAST OF NEW JERSEY AND SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.
WHILE THESE SOLUTIONS POINT TO A STRONG LOW DEVELOPING...THE EXACT TRACK AND THE TIMING ARE HIGHLY IN QUESTION. THE GFS ENSEMBLES ARE DEPICTING A TRACK FARTHER EAST OUT TO SEA...WHILE THE OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE SUITE IS SHOWING SOLUTIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST.
THE DIFFERENCES ARE LARGE IN TERMS OF THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS. SOME OF THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE SUGGEST A MAJOR NOR`EASTER WITH HEAVY SNOW FOR OUR AREA.
Post your thoughts, guesses or model interpretation here.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
Speculation is the right word here..Most forecasters are a little gun shy about committing to this storm , because of last weeks model disaster.
The models seem to be more consistent with the handling of this system. The Euro has been showing a powerful storm that moves up the coast of of LI and the Cape. The GFS has been flip flopping with a coast huger or a low way out to sea .
Back to reality, it's only Tuesday. So much can happen between today and Saturday night.
Since this storm can impact a busy Holiday weekend , I will try to update often..
Should be a fun ride...