AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
706 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014
THEN WE INCREASE POPS TO 50 LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CALLING
IT A RAIN/SNOW MIX...GOING TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT...AND BACK TO A
RAIN MIX WEDNESDAY. IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE THAT SOME SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN COULD MIX IN...BUT GIVEN THE DYNAMICAL NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM...WE THINK IT WILL BE MORE OF RAIN SNOW SCENARIO AT THIS
HIGHS ON TUESDAY LOOK TO BE IN THE 30S...TO NEAR 40 MID HUDSON
VALLEY AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY...SO CERTAINLY SOME RAIN DOWN IN THAT
AREA. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE AGAIN RANGE FROM THE LOWER 20S TO
LOWER 30S...MID 20S TO UPPER 30S ON WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL SEE LOWS INTO THE 20S SO SNOW EVERYWHERE...AND
THEN HIGHS MID 20S TO MID 30S ON THURSDAY.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME WIND ISSUES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME POWER OUTAGES GIVEN
THIS COULD BE ANOTHER WET HEAVY SNOWFALL. IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN
ZONES...THERE MIGHT EVEN BE ENOUGH RAINFALL FOR SOME HYDRO ISSUES.
SNOW SHOWERS OR MIX OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO
THURSDAY ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ON FRIDAY WITH A MODERATING TREND IN TEMPERATURES. LOOK FOR HIGHS
LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
I think it'd be nice to have JasonWx's input here. I personally like his reporting... One more point of view never hurt anyone
I agree. Always good to have other opinions. I just have a long running problem with the pessimistic nature of Jason's posts. I would have missed some awesome days and adventures if I listened to him all the time.
Sometimes I feel asking Jason is like asking a second opinion from a doctor who says "This dude's gonna die anyway. Nothing we can do."
This event is a complex mess..Up until the last run I would have said most areas east of the Hudson River(rt 9) would receive mostly rain/snow mix..Areas West of the river more snow than rain. Hate to make a forecast based on one run, but now it looks like mostly snow for everyone from the Cats north. Only problem is the further north you go the less precip..
All that said, I wouldn't be surprised if this changes again. One way or another..
When dealing with a vertically stacked and cut off system anything can and will happen..kinda akin to a spinning top on a table. who knows were it will go..