The Hurricane Thread

Already several days old but has this ever happened in the history of NOAA: a storm forecast retraction?
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/sep/07/sharpiegate-trump-alabama-hurricane-dorian

Sorry, man, we're not allowed to talk about the President (and his group of sycophantic toadies), even though there is a thread titled "Was Obama the worst President?" if you go back far enough (or search).

Rules are rules, and camp will whine like nothing else if you even think about putting a political comment in here.

On the subject of Hurricanes..

The GFS has been advertising a storm that will make Dorian look like a spring shower , taking a similar track ..
But it's in the 200 + hr..so one needs to take it with a grain of salt..

MC2 5678F589 wrote

Sorry, man, we're not allowed to talk about the President (and his group of sycophantic toadies)

Noted. Setting aside the political context, can we address the general question -- has NOAA ever publicly apologized for a blown forecast?

No.

Weather forecasting (like stock picking or sports predicting) is one of those professions where you're allowed to be wrong a lot and there are no repercussions.

There are bound to be remnants that I missed. Each thread has to be moved into PC one at a time. I addressed the one in question.

bumps wrote

MC2 5678F589 wrote

Sorry, man, we're not allowed to talk about the President (and his group of sycophantic toadies)

Noted. Setting aside the political context, can we address the general question -- has NOAA ever publicly apologized for a blown forecast?

They might have said something about the Sandy forecast..
also the Mayor Lindsey snow storm...that was one of the biggest forecast blunders ever..

Harvey wrote

There are bound to be remnants that I missed. Each thread has to be moved into PC one at a time. I addressed the one in question.

Yeah, it's fine. I wasn't complaining about the admin. Just the selective outrage by some forum members about when we can talk about politics and when we can't

I didnt remember that they messed up Sandy.

What was mayor Lindsey thing?

Lindsy storm..

snow turning to rain little to no accumulation...some areas picked up close to 30" ...NYC  was a mess for days

JasonWx wrote

On the subject of Hurricanes..

The GFS has been advertising a storm that will make Dorian look like a spring shower , taking a similar track ..
But it's in the 200 + hr..so one needs to take it with a grain of salt..

Only got 1 inch of rain at my house when Dorian went up the NC coast a couple days ago.  No major issues in NC west of I-95.  The bigger threat inland turned out to be tornados, including one that wiped out a trailer park well before any rain along the coast.  This time it was the northern NC coast that was pummeled.

The hard hit that seemed to be unexpected was in Canada.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-49624138
https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/07/us/hurricane-dorian-saturday-wxc/index.html

Oh shit, watch out Alabama: