Snow in the forecast...potential for NoVT in the longterm?
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
457 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATE TONIGHT...AND PASS THROUGH ON SATURDAY.
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY SUNDAY...WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A FEW PASSING RAIN SHOWERS...WITH EVEN SOME SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
SAT NT-SUN...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT...AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL BE PASSING ACROSS THE REGION LATE AT NIGHT OR EARLY SUN MORNING. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN...ALONG WITH SOME SHOWERS OF RAIN IN VALLEYS...AND RAIN/SNOW ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE SAT NT INTO SUN AM. IN FACT...WE CAN NOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME WET SNOW AND/OR SNOW PELLETS/GRAUPEL TO MIX IN EVEN ACROSS SOME VALLEY AREAS SUN AM WITHIN ANY TALLER SHOWERS.
ACROSS SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...AND PERHAPS SOUTHERN VT...A COATING TO LESS THAN ONE INCH OF SNOW COULD FALL BY SUN AM. BY SUN AFTERNOON...A VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD FAVOR ANY LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS OF RAIN/SNOW TO BECOME CONFINED TO THE EASTERN CATSKILLS AND SCHOHARIE CO...
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ALMOST THE ENTIRE FOCUS OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE THE UPPER LEVEL TROF THAT DEEPENS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...AND EVENTUALLY DEVELOPS INTO A CUTOFF UPPER LOW THAT ONLY SLOWLY SHIFTS EASTWARD...AND DOES NOT DEPART THE REGION UNTIL THE END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY NIGHT...WITH MOST OF THE REGION REMAINING DRY MOST OF THE NIGHT HAVE ONLY INCREASED POPS TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT BY SUNRISE TUESDAY. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO THE MID 40S. ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS THERE COULD BE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IF PCPN DOES ARRIVE IN TIME.
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp