Spring Weather 2017

Damn...that's a lot of r**n!!

I like that circle around the ADK though...

looks like the dacks have some light snow on saturday..

after that who knows..

JasonWx wrote

looks like the dacks have some light snow on saturday..

after that who knows..

This is what I wanna hear!...heading up Wednesday-Sunday...just need to keep temps down a bit...

Looks like freezing levels in the NY high peaks could jump to 6k briefly Friday as the front passes, followed by colder weather and a couple inches of snow.

I see snow flakes in six of the next ten days on my weather app.  

me thinks that will not be the case...

Here's the thing with those apps, include the one included on the iphone - even if there is chance of snow or rain at 1am in the morning, the day will show snow or rain.  So many partly cloudy fine days will happen the majority.

No knowledge of the algoritm used but certainly check the hourly the day before.

Unless you are hiking in the high peaks.  If a report says only 10% chance of rain in a day, that mean 100% in the high peaks.  Always.  May not be heavy, but it will occur.

Debbie Downer to the rescue.  Its snowing today.  1 down 5 to go.  Ill keep track for you and let you know if you are right.  

true and the iphone uses The Weather Channel for it's data...

TWC sucks Moose @#$$

snow means accumulating

JasonWx wrote

me thinks that will not be the case...

Tend to agree....

I'm still trying to figure out the weather out west.

The Tahoe systems that looked promising a few days ago seem to be shitting the bed a bit....



....with a split storm sending heavier QPF south. (Jason did say Mammoth)

While the PNW is looking more active than it did a few days ago...



(Jason did say PNW would be storming end of week)

With both areas having snow up high and a mix at the base.  

(Jason did say there would be snow level issues.  F' it, I'm just going with Jason from now on! )

OpenSnow tends to agree....




Sooo, Jason, where do I go this weekend?!  I've got until 7:30 to decide which tickets to cancel.  I think the pendulum hath swung back to PNW....

Thanks the the thumbs up..

Of course NCEP decided to do a upgrade on the models today..

That said, PNW definitely looks cooler. Either way the precipt looks to be moderate.
As of today's runs Tahoe has a warmer look...

What kind of temps are you seeing?  I'd rather have 40s on the mountain than cold dust on crust.

No arctic air. upper 30's low 40's....
kind of depends if tahoe gets some sunshine..

what did you decide ?

I'm keeping the Seattle tickets.  The PNW has had the most stable snowfall forecast over the past few days, whereas Tahoe has been all over the place. Utah and the Front Range now may both get snow Thursday into Friday, but no confidence (could be significant, or not) in amounts.  Not super terribly confident about the PNW amounts, but I've got 3 different forecast sites all in agreement on the weather pattern, and 1.5 to 2.0 inches of QPF through Sat with all snow on the upper elevations should (hopefully) put into play the upper mountain stuff I want to ski.  

the 18z is pretty uneventful for the PNW this weekend..

nothing special in tahoe either..

Don't need storm day skiing or untracked powder, so the weekend forecast doesn't concern me as much as the forecast leading up to the weekend.  You are right, neither has anything eventful over the weekend, but the PNW looks more active through the rest of the week.  We'll see....