Winter Weather 2017-2018

Did they name this storm or no because maybe it won't be a storm?

how can you name something that hasn't formed yet?
Pick a name , we all have as much creditably as the TWC..

It's officially called Shit Storm Sam..

speaking of TWC, they are calling huge for the Catskills. Like 12+ huge.  We shall see how this plays out.  Seemed like people were ready to throw in the towel for this season so any amount of snow at the end of this is a net win.  

What do you guys think of Hudson Valley Weather? I started following them more for morning commute purposes but they’re kind of growing on me:
https://hudsonvalleyweather.com/preliminary-storm-forecast-friday-3-2-18/

Cats are easy 12+, the question is only if its 12 or 24.

I was coming to post Hudson Valley Weather's report too.  I have seem him flub a forecast but hes generally pretty spot on from what i've seen. Below is the storm warning with notes from HVW

Winter Storm Warnings now in effect for the Catskills, this part of our region is the easiest part of the upcoming forecast. If you are above 1000’ in the Catskills 1-2 feet is likely with some higher amounts even possible along with winds gusting to 50MPH. Below 1000’ is where the forecast becomes difficult, our forecast remains unchanged from last night as we will be spending today pouring over data to finalize our forecast. Stay Tuned.

This warning covers- Delaware,Sullivan,Western Greene and Western Ulster Counties

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to
18 inches, with localized amounts up to 24 inches, are
expected.

* WHERE...Schoharie, Western Albany, Western Greene and Western
Ulster Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 3 AM EST Saturday.

NWS 12 to 18

NorEaster27 wrote

Cats are easy 12+, the question is only if its 12 or 24.

If the NAM verifies I agree,
If the GFS , I can't see that happening..

Not to pump up too much but the red corner of the map east of Delhi is right where Belle is located.  . . . .

This system has similar thermo profiles as the 2010 storm that dropped 70" of cement  on the Cats...That storm stalled though and lingered for a couple of days..

There was a crazy spread , some got 70 some got none...

after looking at the 12z NAM..I will go all in on the Cats..18-24" ..That said , I think Western Mass might be the big winners...

This looks to be all over early Sat morning..

JasonWx wrote

It's officially called Shit Storm Sam..

I'm going with this, working on my blog post now.

The damn GFS doesn't want to play along..it has snow but less

JasonWx wrote

The damn GFS doesn't want to play along..it has snow but less

What is your guess for the NYS Thruway tomorrow afternoon? It looks like rain from NJ to Albany. What do you think?

it should be ok
it is so warm out, the ground is absorbing a ton of heat

I’m not so much concerned with the Thruway to Albany.......but the Northway from Albany to 73.  Thoughts?

It doesn't look that bad...I guess after lake george , it starts to increase in elevation , might be slick..

the heavy stuff is south west of ALB and east

Thanks

Darrin is making noise for Wednesday

http://www.ilsnow.com/weather/

campgottagopee wrote

Darrin is making noise for Wednesday

http://www.ilsnow.com/weather/

Come on weather guys! I just saw something suggesting up to six inches midweek. Is this likely?