Winter Weather 2015-2016

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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
JTG
This comes over a holiday weekend..IMO brutal cold is as much a revenue killer as rain..
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
True.  Unfortunate for revenue on the hill, but people will come.  If they don't spend money on lift tickets at least it will be busier in town, at least for the more resort destinations like Whiteface/Placid.

Sure, it is the outlier and did just diverge from the other models, but rooting for the ECMWF later this week, as that's the only model that wants to deepen the low forming off the Carolina coast Friday and keep it inside the benchmark, which would bring snow to the north country Friday night and Sat......
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

Harvey
Administrator
I have no scientific basis for this but I'm thinking thinking those temps is over (under) expressed.

Yesterday the NWS forecast for Thurs showed a high at WF of 15 and rain showers.  Sometimes you get some weird chit.

EDIT: OK after reading the NWS ALB forecast discussion, maybe I recant. They used the phrase "life threatening."  
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
NWS forecast for the area isn't as brutal, with Sat temps single digits below 0, and Sun single digits above.  That reporting is for the airport in Saranac Lake (1,600 ft).  Would expect it to be colder on the hill as you gain elevation.  

If the latest ECMWF model is right on the low Friday night it wouldn't allow as much arctic air to funnel into the region.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
It sucks that we see a 12hr old ECMWF...Ya gotta pay to see a the current run
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
Oh, well!  Guess the ECMWF is back in ranks with the others?
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
Here is the 850mb map from the 0z run of the Euro..
It shows a -30c blob over the Dacks on Sunday...

"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
Winter is over!!! Massive warm up is coming!!!

Harv, made me say it!!
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!


GFS 5 Day Snowfall looks good, I'll take the short term and to hell with your long range.  Lalalalala...I can't hear you.

This map is consistent with M-F snowfall from now through Friday, with 12-16 at Whiteface.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
These don't look ominous, showing cold temps and significant QPF through the end of the month...


We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
In reply to this post by JTG4eva!
those are real colorful charts...perty
"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
In my best Ron Burgandy.....You like a da merchandise?

I take it those maps don't jive with what you are seeing.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

Harvey
Administrator
In reply to this post by JTG4eva!
LOL Jason. I figured Jason calling it is our best chance for another Nor'incher.

Been watching that map for several days. It's usually overblown, with some basis in reality. I don't understand WTF is up with it right now.

"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

ml242
Harvey, what happened to that map calling for 80cm of snow?
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JasonWx
All kidding aside, there really isn't anything of significance in the medium range..

"Peace and Love"
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

JTG4eva!
WF webcam doing its best to support the forecasts.  Was snowing on the hill at 8:30, and it's currently snowing on the hill.
We REALLY need a proper roll eyes emoji!!
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

Chris
Bring on the warm weather... Melt this nuisance crap, lets go mountain biking
The day begins...  Your mountain awaits.
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

Harvey
Administrator
Chris wrote
Bring on the warm weather... Melt this nuisance crap, lets go mountain biking

"You're a very very bad man!"
"You just need to go at that shit wide open, hang on, and own it." —Camp
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

snoloco
In reply to this post by Chris
Chris wrote
Bring on the warm weather... Melt this nuisance crap, lets go mountain biking
Idiot of the year award recipient^^^

I've lived in New York my entire life.
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Re: Winter Weather 2015-2016

Thacheronix
Tough break harv
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